NFL Prophet
NFL Prophet About >> Weekly Predictions >> Playoff Odds >> Fantasy Projections >> Previous Matchups

J.J. McCarthy

Pos: QB1 Team: MIN YoE: 2
Draft: RD 1, PICK 10
Injury Status: Q Return Date: 2026-02-09



I. Player News & Analysis


ESPN

RotoWire

Trends


"..."


"O'Connell was set to rotate with Kenny Pickett, though he ultimately played the final three quarters of the game after Pickett struggled. O'Connell wasn't exceptional in relief, but he did manage to complete a pair of passes for more than 20 yards while also avoiding significant mistakes. He'll remain under contract with the Raiders in 2026 and could be set to compete for the backup role, with the team almost certain to draft a quarterback first overall in the upcoming draft."

Aidan O'Connell's rushing yards per attempt has increased by 300+% over the past 6 weeks.

Aidan O'Connell's rushing yards have increased by 300.0% over the past 6 weeks.

Aidan O'Connell's passing yards have increased by 48.92% over the past 6 weeks.

Aidan O'Connell's rushing attempt share has increased by 300+% over the past 8 weeks.

Aidan O'Connell's rushing attempts have increased by 300+% over the past 8 weeks.

J.J. McCarthy

Pos: QB1 Team: MIN YoE: 2
Draft: RD 1, PICK 10
Injury Status: Q Return Date: 2026-02-09



I. Player News & Analysis


ESPN

RotoWire

Trends


"McCarthy is entering his de facto rookie campaign after a knee injury cost the 2024 10th overall pick his entire first season in the pros. McCarthy is expected to start in a QB-friendly Kevin O'Connell scheme loaded with targets (Justin Jefferson, Jordan Addison, T.J. Hockenson) that helped Sam Darnold and Kirk Cousins to top-12 fantasy campaigns (PPG) during each of O'Connell's three seasons in Minnesota. All three offenses were pass-heavy and scored at least 80% of their TDs through the air. A 22-year-old with no NFL experience, McCarthy is an obvious unknown, but he can add some value with his legs and is well positioned for a productive first season. He's an attractive late-round sleeper target."


"Unfortunately for McCarthy, his 10th career start came to an early end, as he attempted just one pass in the second half before informing head coach Kevin O'Connell that the small hairline fracture in his throwing hand was presenting issues with gripping the football. After having his entire 2024 rookie season wiped out by a meniscus tear in his right knee, McCarthy missed seven total games in 2025 due to a right high-ankle sprain, a concussion and then the fractured hand. When available, he showed strong scrambling ability (181 rushing yards and four TDs), but he still has a long way to go as a passer. On the season, McCarthy completed just 57.6 percent of his throws for 6.7 yards per attempt and an 11:12 TD:INT, and he also took 27 sacks on 270 dropbacks (10 percent sack rate) while fumbling six times, losing two. The 22-year-old will tentatively head into 2026 atop Minnesota's depth chart, but Dianna Russini of The Athletic reported Sunday that the Vikings are expected to explore more established options at quarterback via trade or free agency this offseason, potentially forcing McCarthy to compete for the starting job in training camp."

J.J. McCarthy's passing yards per attempt has increased by 72.85% over the past 6 weeks.

J.J. McCarthy's sacks have increased by 300+% over the past 6 weeks.

J.J. McCarthy's passing touchdowns have increased by 150.0% over the past 6 weeks.

J.J. McCarthy's total touchdowns have increased by 250.0% over the past 6 weeks.

J.J. McCarthy's total points have increased by 250.0% over the past 6 weeks.


II. Historical Performance



Season

Week

Home

Score

Away

TGT

REC

YD

TD

FUM

YPA

TGT SHARE

2025

18

SEA

13 - 3

SF

3.0

2.0

29.0

0.0

0.0

9.67

0.115

2025

17

SEA

27 - 10

CAR

3.0

1.0

6.0

0.0

0.0

2.0

0.111

2025

16

LAR

37 - 38

SEA

4.0

3.0

39.0

0.0

1.0

9.75

0.118

2025

15

IND

16 - 18

SEA

7.0

5.0

46.0

0.0

0.0

6.57

0.194

2025

14

SEA

37 - 9

ATL

3.0

2.0

35.0

1.0

0.0

11.67

0.1

2025

13

MIN

0 - 26

SEA

4.0

3.0

24.0

0.0

0.0

6.0

0.154

2025

12

SEA

30 - 24

TEN

4.0

2.0

24.0

0.0

0.0

6.0

0.154

2025

11

SEA

19 - 21

LAR

7.0

3.0

23.0

0.0

0.0

3.29

0.159

2025

10

ARI

22 - 44

SEA

2.0

2.0

74.0

0.0

0.0

37.0

0.167

2025

7

HOU

19 - 27

SEA

1.0

1.0

32.0

0.0

0.0

32.0

0.031

2025

6

SEA

20 - 12

JAX

3.0

2.0

40.0

1.0

0.0

13.33

0.111

2025

5

TB

38 - 35

SEA

9.0

6.0

59.0

0.0

0.0

6.56

0.265

2025

4

SEA

23 - 20

ARI

5.0

4.0

26.0

0.0

0.0

5.2

0.192

2025

3

NO

13 - 44

SEA

3.0

2.0

31.0

0.0

0.0

10.33

0.143

2025

2

SEA

31 - 17

PIT

9.0

7.0

90.0

0.0

0.0

10.0

0.273

2025

1

SF

17 - 13

SEA

3.0

2.0

15.0

0.0

0.0

5.0

0.13

2024

17

ARI

9 - 13

LAR

3.0

1.0

29.0

0.0

0.0

9.67

0.094

2024

16

LAR

19 - 9

NYJ

3.0

3.0

24.0

0.0

0.0

8.0

0.158

2024

15

LAR

12 - 6

SF

3.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.111

2024

14

BUF

42 - 44

LAR

8.0

5.0

92.0

1.0

0.0

11.5

0.267

2024

13

LAR

21 - 14

NO

6.0

3.0

17.0

0.0

0.0

2.83

0.25

2024

12

PHI

37 - 20

LAR

11.0

8.0

60.0

1.0

0.0

5.45

0.306

2024

11

LAR

28 - 22

NE

10.0

6.0

106.0

2.0

0.0

10.6

0.37

2024

10

MIA

23 - 15

LAR

7.0

7.0

80.0

0.0

0.0

11.43

0.152

2024

9

LAR

26 - 20

SEA

14.0

11.0

104.0

0.0

0.0

7.43

0.318

2024

8

MIN

20 - 30

LAR

8.0

5.0

51.0

1.0

0.0

6.38

0.235

2024

2

LAR

10 - 41

ARI

6.0

4.0

37.0

0.0

0.0

6.17

0.222

2024

1

LAR

20 - 26

DET

21.0

14.0

110.0

1.0

0.0

5.24

0.429

2023

17

LAR

26 - 25

NYG

6.0

4.0

27.0

1.0

0.0

4.5

0.176

2023

16

NO

22 - 30

LAR

12.0

6.0

52.0

0.0

0.0

4.33

0.353

2023

15

WSH

20 - 28

LAR

8.0

8.0

111.0

1.0

0.0

13.88

0.242

2023

14

LAR

31 - 37

BAL

10.0

8.0

115.0

1.0

0.0

11.5

0.244

2023

13

CLE

19 - 36

LAR

8.0

6.0

39.0

1.0

0.0

4.88

0.216

2023

12

LAR

37 - 14

ARI

5.0

3.0

18.0

0.0

0.0

3.6

0.152

2023

11

SEA

16 - 17

LAR

1.0

1.0

11.0

0.0

0.0

11.0

0.032

2023

9

LAR

3 - 20

GB

7.0

2.0

48.0

0.0

0.0

6.86

0.25

2023

8

LAR

20 - 43

DAL

10.0

4.0

21.0

0.0

0.0

2.1

0.312

2023

7

PIT

24 - 17

LAR

7.0

2.0

29.0

0.0

0.0

4.14

0.241

2023

6

ARI

9 - 26

LAR

9.0

7.0

148.0

1.0

0.0

16.44

0.375

2023

5

PHI

23 - 14

LAR

12.0

8.0

118.0

0.0

0.0

9.83

0.324

2022

10

ARI

27 - 17

LAR

5.0

3.0

-1.0

0.0

0.0

-0.2

0.135

2022

9

LAR

13 - 16

TB

9.0

8.0

127.0

1.0

0.0

14.11

0.333

2022

8

SF

31 - 14

LAR

12.0

8.0

79.0

1.0

0.0

6.58

0.364

2022

6

CAR

10 - 24

LAR

8.0

7.0

80.0

0.0

0.0

10.0

0.242

2022

5

DAL

22 - 10

LAR

10.0

7.0

125.0

1.0

0.0

12.5

0.227

2022

4

LAR

9 - 24

SF

19.0

14.0

122.0

0.0

0.0

6.42

0.396

2022

3

LAR

20 - 12

ARI

6.0

4.0

44.0

0.0

0.0

7.33

0.24

2022

2

ATL

27 - 31

LAR

14.0

11.0

108.0

2.0

1.0

7.71

0.389

2022

1

BUF

31 - 10

LAR

15.0

13.0

128.0

1.0

0.0

8.53

0.366

2021

18

SF

27 - 24

LAR

7.0

7.0

118.0

1.0

0.0

16.86

0.219

2021

17

LAR

20 - 19

BAL

7.0

6.0

95.0

1.0

0.0

13.57

0.2

2021

16

LAR

30 - 23

MIN

13.0

10.0

109.0

0.0

0.0

8.38

0.351

2021

15

SEA

10 - 20

LAR

13.0

9.0

136.0

2.0

0.0

10.46

0.448

2021

14

LAR

30 - 23

ARI

15.0

13.0

123.0

1.0

0.0

8.2

0.5

2021

13

JAX

7 - 37

LAR

10.0

8.0

129.0

1.0

0.0

12.9

0.263

2021

12

LAR

28 - 36

GB

10.0

7.0

96.0

0.0

0.0

9.6

0.256

2021

10

LAR

10 - 31

SF

13.0

11.0

122.0

0.0

0.0

9.38

0.31

2021

9

TEN

28 - 16

LAR

13.0

11.0

95.0

0.0

0.0

7.31

0.271

2021

8

LAR

38 - 22

HOU

9.0

7.0

115.0

1.0

0.0

12.78

0.265

2021

7

DET

19 - 28

LAR

13.0

10.0

156.0

2.0

0.0

12.0

0.317

2021

6

LAR

38 - 11

NYG

12.0

9.0

130.0

2.0

0.0

10.83

0.4

2021

5

LAR

26 - 17

SEA

10.0

7.0

92.0

0.0

0.0

9.2

0.27

2021

4

ARI

37 - 20

LAR

13.0

5.0

64.0

0.0

0.0

4.92

0.317

2021

3

TB

24 - 34

LAR

12.0

9.0

96.0

2.0

0.0

8.0

0.316

2021

2

LAR

27 - 24

IND

11.0

9.0

163.0

2.0

0.0

14.82

0.367

2021

1

CHI

14 - 34

LAR

10.0

7.0

108.0

1.0

0.0

10.8

0.385