NFL Prophet
NFL Prophet About >> Weekly Predictions >> Playoff Odds >> Fantasy Projections >> Previous Matchups

Terry McLaurin

Pos: WR1 Team: WSH YoE: 6
Draft: RD 3, PICK 76
Injury Status: H



I. Player News & Analysis


ESPN

RotoWire

Trends


"Many benefited from the arrival of Jayden Daniels in Washington last season, but perhaps no one more than McLaurin. The six-year vet caught 13 touchdowns (second most) after totaling 24 during his first five seasons and finished a career-best seventh (15th in PPG) in fantasy points. Despite the success, there is some "sustainability" concern here, as McLaurin's volume didn't change much from years past and he finished outside the top 30 in routes and target share. He's finished exactly 19th among WRs in targets three seasons in a row and has never finished higher than 15th in catches or ninth in yards. McLaurin will require a boost in usage to offset TD regression to the mean in order to sustain WR1 numbers. He's best valued as a mid-to-back-end WR2."


"McLaurin has regularly skipped voluntary team activities this offseason due to dissatisfaction with his current contract, as he heads into both his age-30 season and the final year of the three-year, $68.2 million extension he signed in 2022. The two-time Pro Bowler looked exceptional as the go-to pass-catching threat of QB Jayden Daniels' breakout rookie season, securing 82 of 117 targets for 1,092 yards and a career-high 13 scores across 17 regular-season appearances. While for fantasy purposes, there's some reason to be concerned that McLaurin is a candidate to regress in terms of efficiency, especially in the touchdowns category, he remains the clear leader of Washington's receiving corps and could benefit from the arrival of new teammate Deebo Samuel. The Commanders should be motivated to quickly negotiate a resolution with McLaurin, rather than risk curtailing the momentum he carries heading into Year 2 with Daniels and in offensive coordinator Kliff Kingsbury's scheme."

Terry McLaurin's receiving yards have decreased by 48.79% over the past 6 weeks.

Terry McLaurin's target share has increased by 78.33% over the past 10 weeks.

Terry McLaurin's targets have increased by 59.09% over the past 8 weeks.

Terry McLaurin's receiving touchdowns have decreased by 60.0% over the past 6 weeks.

Terry McLaurin's receptions have decreased by 30.0% over the past 6 weeks.


II. Historical Performance



Season

Week

Home

Score

Away

PASS%

RUSH%

FPTS

2024

18

WSH

23 - 19

DAL

0.633

0.367

20.2

2024

17

ATL

24 - 30

WSH

0.5

0.5

1.5

2024

16

PHI

33 - 36

WSH

0.619

0.381

17.0

2024

15

WSH

20 - 19

NO

0.47

0.53

26.3

2024

13

TEN

19 - 42

WSH

0.4

0.6

27.3

2024

12

DAL

34 - 26

WSH

0.603

0.397

21.2

2024

11

WSH

18 - 26

PHI

0.533

0.467

2.0

2024

10

PIT

28 - 27

WSH

0.607

0.393

16.3

2024

9

WSH

27 - 22

NYG

0.367

0.633

15.9

2024

8

CHI

15 - 18

WSH

0.543

0.457

17.5

2024

7

CAR

7 - 40

WSH

0.403

0.597

15.8

2024

6

WSH

23 - 30

BAL

0.66

0.34

23.3

2024

5

CLE

13 - 34

WSH

0.452

0.548

13.4

2024

4

WSH

42 - 14

ARI

0.448

0.552

18.2

2024

3

WSH

38 - 33

CIN

0.418

0.582

20.0

2024

2

NYG

18 - 21

WSH

0.453

0.547

8.2

2024

1

WSH

20 - 37

TB

0.444

0.556

3.7

2023

18

DAL

38 - 10

WSH

0.622

0.378

11.6

2023

17

SF

27 - 10

WSH

0.667

0.333

16.1

2023

16

WSH

28 - 30

NYJ

0.614

0.386

8.0

2023

15

WSH

20 - 28

LAR

0.632

0.368

26.1

2023

13

MIA

45 - 15

WSH

0.451

0.549

0.0

2023

12

WSH

10 - 45

DAL

0.62

0.38

9.0

2023

11

NYG

31 - 19

WSH

0.616

0.384

9.3

2023

10

WSH

26 - 29

SEA

0.759

0.241

7.3

2023

9

WSH

20 - 17

NE

0.608

0.392

12.3

2023

8

PHI

38 - 31

WSH

0.765

0.235

17.3

2023

7

WSH

7 - 14

NYG

0.689

0.311

15.0

2023

6

WSH

24 - 16

ATL

0.511

0.489

14.1

2023

5

CHI

40 - 20

WSH

0.836

0.164

8.9

2023

4

WSH

31 - 34

PHI

0.594

0.406

16.6

2023

3

BUF

37 - 3

WSH

0.69

0.31

10.1

2023

2

WSH

35 - 33

DEN

0.629

0.371

16.4

2023

1

ARI

16 - 20

WSH

0.525

0.475

5.1

2022

18

DAL

6 - 26

WSH

0.317

0.683

16.4

2022

17

CLE

24 - 10

WSH

0.431

0.569

5.7

2022

16

WSH

20 - 37

SF

0.507

0.493

17.7

2022

15

NYG

20 - 12

WSH

0.527

0.473

13.0

2022

13

WSH

20 - 20

NYG

0.532

0.468

24.5

2022

12

ATL

13 - 19

WSH

0.383

0.617

9.3

2022

11

WSH

23 - 10

HOU

0.403

0.597

9.6

2022

10

WSH

32 - 21

PHI

0.372

0.628

20.8

2022

9

MIN

20 - 17

WSH

0.483

0.517

10.6

2022

8

WSH

17 - 16

IND

0.525

0.475

16.6

2022

7

GB

21 - 23

WSH

0.465

0.535

18.3

2022

6

WSH

12 - 7

CHI

0.44

0.56

8.2

2022

5

TEN

21 - 17

WSH

0.691

0.309

12.6

2022

4

WSH

10 - 25

DAL

0.609

0.391

3.5

2022

3

PHI

24 - 8

WSH

0.662

0.338

16.2

2022

2

WSH

27 - 36

DET

0.687

0.313

12.2

2022

1

JAX

22 - 28

WSH

0.594

0.406

13.8

2021

18

WSH

22 - 7

NYG

0.327

0.673

13.3

2021

17

PHI

20 - 16

WSH

0.621

0.379

13.1

2021

16

WSH

14 - 56

DAL

0.615

0.385

7.0

2021

15

WSH

17 - 27

PHI

0.596

0.404

7.1

2021

14

DAL

27 - 20

WSH

0.596

0.404

0.0

2021

13

WSH

17 - 15

LV

0.5

0.5

5.2

2021

12

SEA

15 - 17

WSH

0.449

0.551

9.1

2021

11

WSH

27 - 21

CAR

0.355

0.645

21.3

2021

10

TB

19 - 29

WSH

0.485

0.515

11.9

2021

8

WSH

10 - 17

DEN

0.619

0.381

6.5

2021

7

WSH

10 - 24

GB

0.561

0.439

25.2

2021

6

KC

31 - 13

WSH

0.672

0.328

6.8

2021

5

NO

33 - 22

WSH

0.554

0.446

8.6

2021

4

WSH

34 - 30

ATL

0.541

0.459

30.3

2021

3

WSH

21 - 43

BUF

0.49

0.51

10.2

2021

2

NYG

29 - 30

WSH

0.676

0.324

27.7

2021

1

LAC

20 - 16

WSH

0.438

0.562

10.2