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II. Historical Performance



FantasyPassingRushingReceivingKickingMisc

Season

Week

Home

Score

Away

PASS%

RUSH%

FPTS

2024

17

DAL

7 - 41

PHI

0.492

0.508

5.8

2024

16

TB

24 - 26

DAL

0.636

0.364

15.04

2024

15

DAL

30 - 14

CAR

0.42

0.58

18.46

2024

14

CIN

27 - 20

DAL

0.554

0.446

13.14

2024

13

NYG

20 - 27

DAL

0.529

0.471

11.8

2024

12

DAL

34 - 26

WSH

0.533

0.467

17.74

2024

11

HOU

34 - 10

DAL

0.757

0.243

17.0

2024

10

PHI

34 - 6

DAL

0.547

0.453

-2.4

2024

9

DAL

21 - 27

ATL

0.704

0.296

9.0

2024

6

DET

47 - 9

DAL

0.721

0.279

2.04

2024

2

NO

44 - 19

DAL

0.667

0.333

0.24

2024

1

DAL

33 - 17

CLE

0.561

0.439

-0.1

2023

18

DAL

38 - 10

WSH

0.58

0.42

1.2

2023

11

DAL

33 - 10

CAR

0.603

0.397

0.3

2023

10

NYG

17 - 49

DAL

0.571

0.429

3.22

2023

8

LAR

20 - 43

DAL

0.567

0.433

-0.18

2023

5

DAL

10 - 42

SF

0.578

0.422

-0.2

2023

4

NE

3 - 38

DAL

0.545

0.455

0.6

2023

1

DAL

40 - 0

NYG

0.455

0.545

0.0

2022

18

DAL

6 - 26

WSH

0.585

0.415

0.0

2022

13

IND

19 - 54

DAL

0.469

0.531

0.0

2022

11

DAL

40 - 3

MIN

0.429

0.571

1.24

2022

6

DAL

17 - 26

PHI

0.594

0.406

11.24

2022

5

DAL

22 - 10

LAR

0.32

0.68

2.94

2022

4

WSH

10 - 25

DAL

0.482

0.518

17.38

2022

3

DAL

23 - 16

NYG

0.508

0.492

12.4

2022

2

CIN

17 - 20

DAL

0.534

0.466

13.4

2022

1

TB

19 - 3

DAL

0.7

0.3

2.08

2021

18

DAL

51 - 26

PHI

0.467

0.533

0.0

2021

16

WSH

14 - 56

DAL

0.6

0.4

6.8

2021

10

ATL

3 - 43

DAL

0.486

0.514

0.08

2021

8

DAL

20 - 16

MIN

0.631

0.369

16.44

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nfl-prophet.com © Joseph Poirier, 2024

Tyreek Hill

Pos: WR1 Team: MIA YoE: 9
Draft: RD 5, PICK 165
Injury Status: Q Return Date: 2025-08-01



I. Player News & Analysis


ESPN

RotoWire

Trends


"Hill is eyeing a rebound campaign following what was undoubtedly the most disappointing season of his career. Granted, he wasn't fully healthy, but Hill appeared in all 17 games and still managed to see a massive dip in targets, catches, yardage, TDs and fantasy points, compared to his first two seasons in Miami. Hill finished 31st among WRs in fantasy PPG after ranking no lower than 11th the prior seven seasons. It didn't help that Tua Tagovailoa missed six games (Hill averaged 9.0 PPG in those weeks), but he wasn't his usual, elite self even with Tagovailoa (14.9 PPG). Hill was the No. 2 fantasy WR three of four seasons before the 2024 dud, so a potential rebound season is worth factoring in, but it's not a lock as he enters his age-31 campaign. He's safest as a WR2 with upside."


"Hill didn't participate in team drills at the start of mandatory minicamp, but it was a positive sign to see him catching passes for the first time since undergoing a pair of offseason wrist surgeries. The 31-year-old veteran remains on track to be fully cleared closer to training camp. After tallying over 1,700 receiving yards and a combined 20 touchdowns in 2022 and 2023, Hill regressed to the tune of an 81-959-6 receiving line in 2024 despite suiting up for all 17 regular-season games. Hill will be a value in 2025 fantasy drafts if he can bounce back to something resembling his usual form, though the days of him being a candidate to lead the league in receiving yards are likely in the past."

Tyreek Hill's targets have decreased by 36.67% over the past 6 weeks.

Tyreek Hill's receiving yards have decreased by 34.19% over the past 6 weeks.

Tyreek Hill's receiving touchdowns have decreased by 66.67% over the past 8 weeks.

Tyreek Hill's target share has increased by 28.37% over the past 12 weeks.

Tyreek Hill's receptions have decreased by 42.86% over the past 8 weeks.


II. Historical Performance



FantasyPassingRushingReceivingKickingMisc

Season

Week

Home

Score

Away

PASS%

RUSH%

FPTS

2024

18

MIA

20 - 32

NYJ

0.641

0.359

4.0

2024

17

MIA

20 - 3

CLE

0.491

0.509

19.5

2024

16

SF

17 - 29

MIA

0.531

0.469

11.9

2024

15

MIA

12 - 20

HOU

0.678

0.322

5.6

2024

14

NYJ

26 - 32

MIA

0.712

0.288

28.1

2024

13

MIA

17 - 30

GB

0.767

0.233

20.3

2024

12

NE

15 - 34

MIA

0.625

0.375

9.8

2024

11

LV

19 - 34

MIA

0.581

0.419

19.1

2024

10

MIA

23 - 15

LAR

0.56

0.44

11.7

2024

9

MIA

27 - 30

BUF

0.475

0.525

12.0

2024

8

ARI

28 - 27

MIA

0.603

0.397

13.2

2024

7

MIA

10 - 16

IND

0.394

0.606

2.3

2024

5

MIA

15 - 10

NE

0.431

0.569

12.9

2024

4

TEN

31 - 12

MIA

0.423

0.577

8.2

2024

3

MIA

3 - 24

SEA

0.64

0.36

7.0

2024

2

BUF

31 - 10

MIA

0.534

0.466

6.6

2024

1

JAX

17 - 20

MIA

0.597

0.403

26.0

2023

18

BUF

21 - 14

MIA

0.574

0.426

21.2

2023

17

MIA

19 - 56

BAL

0.603

0.397

13.6

2023

16

DAL

20 - 22

MIA

0.587

0.413

18.9

2023

14

TEN

28 - 27

MIA

0.516

0.484

10.1

2023

13

MIA

45 - 15

WSH

0.424

0.576

32.3

2023

12

MIA

34 - 13

NYJ

0.448

0.552

25.4

2023

11

LV

13 - 20

MIA

0.582

0.418

30.6

2023

9

MIA

14 - 21

KC

0.618

0.382

12.5

2023

8

NE

17 - 31

MIA

0.634

0.366

25.2

2023

7

MIA

17 - 31

PHI

0.727

0.273

25.8

2023

6

CAR

21 - 42

MIA

0.492

0.508

28.3

2023

5

NYG

16 - 31

MIA

0.566

0.434

32.1

2023

4

MIA

20 - 48

BUF

0.648

0.352

10.2

2023

3

DEN

20 - 70

MIA

0.394

0.606

30.7

2023

2

MIA

24 - 17

NE

0.5

0.5

15.0

2023

1

MIA

36 - 34

LAC

0.692

0.308

44.5

2022

18

NYJ

6 - 11

MIA

0.492

0.508

4.3

2022

17

MIA

21 - 23

NE

0.597

0.403

15.7

2022

16

GB

26 - 20

MIA

0.581

0.419

14.3

2022

15

MIA

29 - 32

BUF

0.545

0.455

21.9

2022

14

MIA

17 - 23

LAC

0.596

0.404

18.1

2022

13

MIA

17 - 33

SF

0.81

0.19

29.6

2022

12

HOU

15 - 30

MIA

0.612

0.388

15.0

2022

10

CLE

17 - 39

MIA

0.5

0.5

15.4

2022

9

MIA

35 - 32

CHI

0.566

0.434

27.3

2022

8

MIA

31 - 27

DET

0.581

0.419

31.5

2022

7

PIT

10 - 16

MIA

0.565

0.435

14.2

2022

6

MIN

24 - 16

MIA

0.701

0.299

29.7

2022

5

MIA

17 - 40

NYJ

0.567

0.433

13.0

2022

4

MIA

15 - 27

CIN

0.627

0.373

25.9

2022

3

BUF

19 - 21

MIA

0.541

0.459

5.3

2022

2

MIA

42 - 38

BAL

0.735

0.265

42.0

2022

1

NE

7 - 20

MIA

0.589

0.411

18.0

2021

18

KC

28 - 24

DEN

0.603

0.397

1.2

2021

17

KC

31 - 34

CIN

0.603

0.397

10.2

2021

16

PIT

10 - 36

KC

0.462

0.538

3.9

2021

15

KC

34 - 28

LAC

0.701

0.299

32.8

2021

14

LV

9 - 48

KC

0.444

0.556

11.6

2021

13

DEN

9 - 22

KC

0.547

0.453

4.2

2021

11

DAL

9 - 19

KC

0.587

0.413

20.0

2021

10

KC

41 - 14

LV

0.671

0.329

27.5

2021

9

GB

7 - 13

KC

0.597

0.403

7.3

2021

8

NYG

17 - 20

KC

0.64

0.36

27.4

2021

7

KC

3 - 27

TEN

0.797

0.203

12.7

2021

6

KC

31 - 13

WSH

0.627

0.373

22.6

2021

5

BUF

38 - 20

KC

0.701

0.299

14.8

2021

4

KC

42 - 30

PHI

0.484

0.516

47.6

2021

3

LAC

30 - 24

KC

0.595

0.405

9.7

2021

2

KC

35 - 36

BAL

0.633

0.367

5.9

2021

1

CLE

29 - 33

KC

0.61

0.39

37.1

make your own luck.
nfl-prophet.com © Joseph Poirier, 2024

undefined

Pos: QB1 Team: undefined YoE: undefined
Draft: RD undefined, PICK undefined
Injury Status: undefined Return Date: undefined



I. Player News & Analysis


ESPN

RotoWire

Trends


"Mahomes enters his age-29 season no longer an elite fantasy option, but rather a solid mid-to-back-end starter. After five straight seasons as a top-6 fantasy QB (PPG), he's finished 13th and 11th the past two seasons. Mahomes has evolved into a quarterback who still attempts a ton of passes (exactly third in pass attempts four years in a row), but is more conservative (career-low 6.4 aDOT and 6.8 YPA in 2024) and doesn't throw as many TDs as in years past (26 last season was his fewest since 2019). Perhaps he'll rebound a bit in that area with the Xavier Worthy/Rashee Rice/Hollywood Brown trio together, but in the meantime Mahomes adds just enough with his legs (between 300 and 400 yards five seasons in a row) to keep him in the fantasy starter conversation."


"Mahomes and star defensive tackle Chris Jones both agreed to restructure their contracts Wednesday, freeing up a total of $49.4 million in cap space to help Kansas City maneuver in free agency. The team has already committed to a handful of key moves, including re-signing wideout Hollywood Brown to a one-year deal, placing the franchise tag on right guard Trey Smith and retaining linebacker Nick Bolton via a three-year contract. Mahomes remains signed through the 2031 season, and he'll enter the 2025 season with a reloaded supporting cast as the Chiefs work to bounce back from a disappointing 40-22 loss to the Eagles in Super Bowl LIX."

Patrick Mahomes' sacks have decreased by 75.0+% over the past 6 weeks.

Patrick Mahomes' rushing yards per attempt has increased by 40.27% over the past 6 weeks.

Patrick Mahomes' rushing yards have decreased by 27.16% over the past 6 weeks.

Patrick Mahomes' rushing touchdowns have increased by 100% over the past 6 weeks.

Patrick Mahomes' interceptions have increased by 100% over the past 14 weeks.


II. Historical Performance



FantasyPassingRushingReceivingKickingMisc

Season

Week

Home

Score

Away

PASS%

RUSH%

FPTS

2024

17

KC

29 - 10

PIT

0.655

0.345

26.0

2024

16

HOU

19 - 27

KC

0.594

0.406

23.34

2024

15

KC

21 - 7

CLE

0.533

0.467

15.76

2024

14

LAC

17 - 19

KC

0.597

0.403

13.78

2024

13

LV

17 - 19

KC

0.742

0.258

15.04

2024

12

KC

30 - 27

CAR

0.587

0.413

27.04

2024

11

KC

21 - 30

BUF

0.66

0.34

15.24

2024

10

DEN

14 - 16

KC

0.689

0.311

15.62

2024

9

TB

24 - 30

KC

0.557

0.443

23.3

2024

8

KC

27 - 20

LV

0.567

0.433

19.78

2024

7

KC

28 - 18

SF

0.409

0.591

15.7

2024

5

NO

13 - 26

KC

0.5

0.5

15.04

2024

4

KC

17 - 10

LAC

0.527

0.473

14.32

2024

3

KC

22 - 17

ATL

0.542

0.458

18.38

2024

2

CIN

25 - 26

KC

0.439

0.561

16.38

2024

1

BAL

20 - 27

KC

0.583

0.417

16.74

2023

17

CIN

17 - 25

KC

0.569

0.431

11.84

2023

16

LV

20 - 14

KC

0.643

0.357

17.78

2023

15

KC

27 - 17

NE

0.655

0.345

18.66

2023

14

BUF

20 - 17

KC

0.705

0.295

15.36

2023

13

KC

19 - 27

GB

0.569

0.431

14.16

2023

12

KC

31 - 17

LV

0.596

0.404

20.54

2023

11

PHI

21 - 17

KC

0.589

0.411

18.52

2023

9

MIA

14 - 21

KC

0.556

0.444

15.36

2023

8

KC

9 - 24

DEN

0.704

0.296

8.48

2023

7

LAC

17 - 31

KC

0.667

0.333

35.5

2023

6

DEN

8 - 19

KC

0.603

0.397

18.82

2023

5

KC

27 - 20

MIN

0.661

0.339

18.64

2023

4

KC

23 - 20

NYJ

0.462

0.538

16.98

2023

3

CHI

10 - 41

KC

0.507

0.493

25.68

2023

2

KC

17 - 9

JAX

0.651

0.349

22.92

2023

1

DET

21 - 20

KC

0.629

0.371

21.54

2022

18

KC

31 - 13

LV

0.481

0.519

14.14

2022

17

DEN

24 - 27

KC

0.724

0.276

27.52

2022

16

SEA

10 - 24

KC

0.56

0.44

23.6

2022

15

KC

30 - 24

HOU

0.554

0.446

29.82

2022

14

KC

34 - 28

DEN

0.646

0.354

25.38

2022

13

KC

24 - 27

CIN

0.519

0.481

19.34

2022

12

LAR

10 - 26

KC

0.583

0.417

20.4

2022

11

KC

30 - 27

LAC

0.557

0.443

27.18

2022

10

JAX

17 - 27

KC

0.565

0.435

33.14

2022

9

TEN

17 - 20

KC

0.782

0.218

33.18

2022

7

KC

44 - 23

SF

0.632

0.368

28.68

2022

6

BUF

24 - 20

KC

0.69

0.31

22.86

2022

5

LV

29 - 30

KC

0.652

0.348

29.4

2022

4

KC

41 - 31

TB

0.5

0.5

24.52

2022

3

KC

17 - 20

IND

0.61

0.39

16.88

2022

2

LAC

24 - 27

KC

0.66

0.34

16.94

2022

1

KC

44 - 21

ARI

0.591

0.409

34.9

2021

18

KC

28 - 24

DEN

0.603

0.397

23.6

2021

17

KC

31 - 34

CIN

0.603

0.397

20.86

2021

16

PIT

10 - 36

KC

0.462

0.538

22.16

2021

15

KC

34 - 28

LAC

0.701

0.299

29.6

2021

14

LV

9 - 48

KC

0.444

0.556

19.6

2021

13

DEN

9 - 22

KC

0.547

0.453

12.32

2021

11

DAL

9 - 19

KC

0.587

0.413

6.86

2021

10

KC

41 - 14

LV

0.671

0.329

36.24

2021

9

GB

7 - 13

KC

0.597

0.403

10.2

2021

8

NYG

17 - 20

KC

0.64

0.36

13.44

2021

7

KC

3 - 27

TEN

0.797

0.203

6.5

2021

6

KC

31 - 13

WSH

0.627

0.373

26.7

2021

5

BUF

38 - 20

KC

0.701

0.299

18.98

2021

4

KC

42 - 30

PHI

0.484

0.516

31.44

2021

3

LAC

30 - 24

KC

0.595

0.405

22.54

2021

2

KC

35 - 36

BAL

0.633

0.367

26.02

2021

1

CLE

29 - 33

KC

0.61

0.39

32.76

make your own luck.
nfl-prophet.com © Joseph Poirier, 2024