NFL Prophet
NFL Prophet About >> Weekly Predictions >> Playoff Odds >> Fantasy Projections >> Previous Matchups

Dawson Knox

Pos: TE2 Team: BUF YoE: 7
Draft: RD 3, PICK 96
Injury Status: H



I. Player News & Analysis


ESPN

RotoWire

Trends


"Knox is entering his seventh NFL season, including his third as Dalton Kincaid's running mate. The 2019 third-round pick flirted with top-12 fantasy output in the two years prior to Kincaid's arrival, but has since seen a severe dip in usage, plummeting to career-low marks in targets (33), touchdowns (one) and fantasy PPG (3.7) last season. That was despite Kincaid missing three games (Knox averaged 5.7 PPG those weeks). In total, Knox had zero double-digit fantasy outings in 2024 and his last game over 10.2 points was Week 16 of 2022. Even if Kincaid misses time, 28-year-old Knox won't be a starting option in fantasy."


"Despite the Bills resting Josh Allen and James Cook, Buffalo let both Dalton Kincaid and Knox play against New York. Knox appeared in all 17 regular-season games in 2025, securing 36 of 49 targets for 417 yards and four touchdowns. He'll play a big role as a blocker and red-zone target for Allen in the playoffs."

Dawson Knox's target share has increased by 180.71% over the past 14 weeks.

Dawson Knox's receiving yards have decreased by 44.2% over the past 6 weeks.

Dawson Knox's targets have increased by 163.64% over the past 14 weeks.

Dawson Knox's receptions have increased by 175.0% over the past 14 weeks.

Dawson Knox's total points have increased by 300+% over the past 6 weeks.


II. Historical Performance



Season

Week

Home

Score

Away

PASS%

RUSH%

FPTS

2025

18

NYJ

8 - 35

BUF

0.403

0.597

10.4

2025

17

PHI

13 - 12

BUF

0.515

0.485

8.0

2025

16

BUF

23 - 20

CLE

0.396

0.604

2.0

2025

15

BUF

35 - 31

NE

0.431

0.569

18.7

2025

14

CIN

34 - 39

BUF

0.491

0.509

15.3

2025

13

BUF

26 - 7

PIT

0.311

0.689

5.8

2025

12

BUF

19 - 23

HOU

0.586

0.414

4.7

2025

11

TB

32 - 44

BUF

0.566

0.434

3.3

2025

10

BUF

13 - 30

MIA

0.645

0.355

6.7

2025

9

KC

21 - 28

BUF

0.426

0.574

4.0

2025

8

BUF

40 - 9

CAR

0.397

0.603

2.5

2025

6

BUF

14 - 24

ATL

0.52

0.48

8.9

2025

5

NE

23 - 20

BUF

0.517

0.483

3.5

2025

4

NO

19 - 31

BUF

0.407

0.593

0.0

2025

3

MIA

21 - 31

BUF

0.509

0.491

0.0

2025

2

BUF

30 - 10

NYJ

0.386

0.614

3.9

2025

1

BAL

40 - 41

BUF

0.597

0.403

4.0

2024

17

NYJ

14 - 40

BUF

0.452

0.548

1.4

2024

16

NE

21 - 24

BUF

0.509

0.491

4.2

2024

15

BUF

48 - 42

DET

0.5

0.5

6.2

2024

14

BUF

42 - 44

LAR

0.685

0.315

1.5

2024

13

SF

10 - 35

BUF

0.321

0.679

7.6

2024

11

KC

21 - 30

BUF

0.563

0.437

8.0

2024

10

BUF

30 - 20

IND

0.544

0.456

6.0

2024

9

MIA

27 - 30

BUF

0.672

0.328

1.5

2024

8

BUF

31 - 10

SEA

0.5

0.5

7.0

2024

7

TEN

10 - 34

BUF

0.623

0.377

1.5

2024

6

BUF

23 - 20

NYJ

0.431

0.569

8.2

2024

5

BUF

20 - 23

HOU

0.517

0.483

0.0

2024

4

BUF

10 - 35

BAL

0.574

0.426

1.0

2024

3

JAX

10 - 47

BUF

0.517

0.483

1.7

2024

2

BUF

31 - 10

MIA

0.422

0.578

0.0

2024

1

ARI

28 - 34

BUF

0.411

0.589

3.3

2023

18

BUF

21 - 14

MIA

0.514

0.486

10.2

2023

17

NE

21 - 27

BUF

0.448

0.552

0.0

2023

16

BUF

24 - 22

LAC

0.412

0.588

4.6

2023

15

DAL

10 - 31

BUF

0.234

0.766

0.0

2023

14

BUF

20 - 17

KC

0.6

0.4

6.6

2023

8

TB

18 - 24

BUF

0.606

0.394

0.0

2023

7

BUF

25 - 29

NE

0.631

0.369

2.0

2023

6

NYG

9 - 14

BUF

0.508

0.492

4.7

2023

5

JAX

25 - 20

BUF

0.741

0.259

4.7

2023

4

MIA

20 - 48

BUF

0.463

0.537

2.2

2023

3

BUF

37 - 3

WSH

0.492

0.508

2.1

2023

2

LV

10 - 38

BUF

0.514

0.486

10.0

2023

1

BUF

16 - 22

NYJ

0.651

0.349

5.5

2022

18

NE

23 - 35

BUF

0.554

0.446

9.3

2022

16

BUF

35 - 13

CHI

0.456

0.544

12.8

2022

15

MIA

29 - 32

BUF

0.58

0.42

21.8

2022

14

NYJ

12 - 20

BUF

0.529

0.471

14.1

2022

13

BUF

24 - 10

NE

0.471

0.529

0.0

2022

12

BUF

28 - 25

DET

0.592

0.408

3.7

2022

11

CLE

23 - 31

BUF

0.45

0.55

14.0

2022

10

MIN

33 - 30

BUF

0.614

0.386

9.7

2022

9

BUF

17 - 20

NYJ

0.607

0.393

5.5

2022

8

GB

17 - 27

BUF

0.481

0.519

9.0

2022

6

BUF

24 - 20

KC

0.563

0.437

12.7

2022

4

BUF

23 - 20

BAL

0.59

0.41

7.0

2022

3

BUF

19 - 21

MIA

0.733

0.267

6.5

2022

2

TEN

7 - 41

BUF

0.625

0.375

8.1

2022

1

BUF

31 - 10

LAR

0.554

0.446

1.5

2021

18

NYJ

10 - 27

BUF

0.582

0.418

8.3

2021

17

ATL

15 - 29

BUF

0.371

0.629

0.0

2021

16

BUF

33 - 21

NE

0.627

0.373

9.1

2021

15

CAR

14 - 31

BUF

0.557

0.443

7.8

2021

14

BUF

27 - 33

TB

0.74

0.26

19.0

2021

13

NE

14 - 10

BUF

0.545

0.455

3.4

2021

12

BUF

31 - 6

NO

0.467

0.533

18.2

2021

11

IND

41 - 15

BUF

0.755

0.245

14.0

2021

10

BUF

45 - 17

NYJ

0.538

0.462

2.7

2021

6

BUF

31 - 34

TEN

0.671

0.329

5.5

2021

5

BUF

38 - 20

KC

0.481

0.519

20.7

2021

4

HOU

0 - 40

BUF

0.437

0.563

20.7

2021

3

WSH

21 - 43

BUF

0.571

0.429

14.9

2021

2

BUF

35 - 0

MIA

0.524

0.476

9.7

2021

1

PIT

23 - 16

BUF

0.671

0.329

8.1