NFL Prophet
NFL Prophet About >> Weekly Predictions >> Playoff Odds >> Fantasy Projections >> Previous Matchups


II. Historical Performance



FantasyPassingReceivingRushingMisc

Season

Week

Home

Score

Away

PASS%

RUSH%

FPTS

2025

18

NO

17 - 19

ATL

0.561

0.439

11.8

2025

17

LAR

24 - 27

ATL

0.377

0.623

3.6

2025

16

ATL

26 - 19

ARI

0.486

0.514

18.7

2025

15

ATL

29 - 28

TB

0.677

0.323

45.6

2025

14

SEA

37 - 9

ATL

0.492

0.508

15.0

2025

13

ATL

24 - 27

NYJ

0.508

0.492

15.2

2025

12

ATL

24 - 10

NO

0.442

0.558

4.5

2025

11

CAR

30 - 27

ATL

0.517

0.483

3.4

2025

10

ATL

25 - 31

IND

0.491

0.509

5.8

2025

9

ATL

23 - 24

NE

0.698

0.302

7.8

2025

8

MIA

34 - 10

ATL

0.646

0.354

14.9

2025

7

ATL

10 - 20

SF

0.655

0.345

13.2

2025

6

BUF

14 - 24

ATL

0.5

0.5

4.8

2025

4

WSH

27 - 34

ATL

0.413

0.587

18.0

2025

3

ATL

0 - 30

CAR

0.652

0.348

7.9

2025

2

ATL

22 - 6

MIN

0.35

0.65

7.7

2025

1

TB

23 - 20

ATL

0.6

0.4

12.9

2024

18

CAR

44 - 38

ATL

0.5

0.5

3.5

2024

17

ATL

24 - 30

WSH

0.603

0.397

14.4

2024

16

NYG

7 - 34

ATL

0.415

0.585

1.7

2024

15

ATL

15 - 9

LV

0.315

0.685

6.8

2024

14

ATL

21 - 42

MIN

0.536

0.464

2.4

2024

13

LAC

17 - 13

ATL

0.513

0.487

0.0

2024

11

ATL

6 - 38

DEN

0.596

0.404

1.9

2024

10

ATL

17 - 20

NO

0.543

0.457

9.5

2024

9

DAL

21 - 27

ATL

0.444

0.556

2.1

2024

8

ATL

31 - 26

TB

0.5

0.5

25.1

2024

7

SEA

34 - 14

ATL

0.529

0.471

13.5

2024

6

ATL

38 - 20

CAR

0.441

0.559

10.0

2024

5

TB

30 - 36

ATL

0.766

0.234

15.8

2024

4

NO

24 - 26

ATL

0.7

0.3

0.0

2024

3

KC

22 - 17

ATL

0.537

0.463

7.9

2024

2

ATL

22 - 21

PHI

0.509

0.491

5.0

2024

1

PIT

18 - 10

ATL

0.542

0.458

11.6

2023

18

ATL

17 - 48

NO

0.576

0.424

4.7

2023

17

ATL

17 - 37

CHI

0.579

0.421

1.5

2023

16

IND

10 - 29

ATL

0.524

0.476

13.9

2023

15

ATL

7 - 9

CAR

0.392

0.608

6.7

2023

14

TB

29 - 25

ATL

0.606

0.394

14.7

2023

13

ATL

13 - 8

NYJ

0.443

0.557

9.1

2023

12

NO

15 - 24

ATL

0.339

0.661

4.2

2023

10

ATL

23 - 25

ARI

0.339

0.661

6.0

2023

9

MIN

31 - 28

ATL

0.576

0.424

9.6

2023

8

ATL

23 - 28

TEN

0.567

0.433

6.5

2023

7

ATL

16 - 13

TB

0.397

0.603

7.7

2023

6

WSH

24 - 16

ATL

0.618

0.382

14.3

2023

5

HOU

19 - 21

ATL

0.514

0.486

15.7

2023

4

ATL

7 - 23

JAX

0.585

0.415

4.1

2023

3

ATL

6 - 20

DET

0.655

0.345

8.7

2023

2

GB

24 - 25

ATL

0.416

0.584

3.5

2023

1

CAR

10 - 24

ATL

0.409

0.591

6.4

2022

11

CHI

24 - 27

ATL

0.377

0.623

7.3

2022

10

ATL

15 - 25

CAR

0.545

0.455

4.8

2022

9

LAC

20 - 17

ATL

0.397

0.603

4.7

2022

8

CAR

34 - 37

ATL

0.431

0.569

19.0

2022

7

ATL

17 - 35

CIN

0.31

0.69

3.9

2022

6

SF

14 - 28

ATL

0.259

0.741

10.9

2022

4

CLE

20 - 23

ATL

0.352

0.648

3.5

2022

3

ATL

27 - 23

SEA

0.392

0.608

13.7

2022

2

ATL

27 - 31

LAR

0.491

0.509

3.9

2022

1

NO

27 - 26

ATL

0.465

0.535

3.9

2021

18

NO

30 - 20

ATL

0.733

0.267

2.8

2021

17

ATL

15 - 29

BUF

0.511

0.489

8.9

2021

16

DET

16 - 20

ATL

0.571

0.429

16.2

2021

15

ATL

13 - 31

SF

0.582

0.418

11.7

2021

14

ATL

29 - 21

CAR

0.438

0.562

11.1

2021

13

TB

30 - 17

ATL

0.641

0.359

8.8

2021

12

ATL

21 - 14

JAX

0.5

0.5

4.6

2021

11

NE

25 - 0

ATL

0.667

0.333

5.9

2021

10

ATL

3 - 43

DAL

0.529

0.471

10.0

2021

9

ATL

27 - 25

NO

0.545

0.455

9.2

2021

8

CAR

19 - 13

ATL

0.574

0.426

3.3

2021

7

ATL

30 - 28

MIA

0.645

0.355

23.3

2021

5

NYJ

20 - 27

ATL

0.613

0.387

26.9

2021

4

WSH

34 - 30

ATL

0.6

0.4

9.0

2021

3

ATL

17 - 14

NYG

0.643

0.357

5.5

2021

2

ATL

25 - 48

TB

0.706

0.294

12.3

2021

1

PHI

32 - 6

ATL

0.574

0.426

7.1

make your own luck.
nfl-prophet.com © Joseph Poirier, 2024

Connor Heyward

Pos: TE3, FB1 Team: PIT YoE: 4
Draft: RD 6, PICK 208
Injury Status: H



I. Player News & Analysis


ESPN

RotoWire

Trends


"Goedert is entering his eighth NFL season with some uncertainty, as he's found himself on the trade block. The 30-year-old has finished each of the past six seasons as a top-12 fantasy scorer on a per-game basis, though he's struggled with durability (23 missed games during the six-year span) and TD scoring (he's never cleared five TDs or six end zone targets in a single season). He's otherwise been productive (top 10 in YPRR five of the past six seasons) and, whether he stays put or is traded, he'll surely remain a consistent piece of the passing game. Goedert should be valued as a good TE2."


"Goedert continues to be a red-zone magnet, catching his fourth touchdown over the Eagles' last three contests. The 30-year-old's career-best 11th touchdown grab helped offset the tight end's lowest yardage output to date in 2025. Goedert's nose for the end zone makes him an elite fantasy option against the Commanders in Week 18."

Dallas Goedert's target share has increased by 112.36% over the past 6 weeks.

Dallas Goedert's receiving yards have increased by 153.52% over the past 6 weeks.

Dallas Goedert's receptions have increased by 183.33% over the past 6 weeks.

Dallas Goedert's targets have increased by 81.82% over the past 6 weeks.

Dallas Goedert's fantasy points have increased by 300+% over the past 6 weeks.

Connor Heyward

Pos: TE3, FB1 Team: PIT YoE: 4
Draft: RD 6, PICK 208
Injury Status: H



I. Player News & Analysis


ESPN

RotoWire

Trends


"Pierce is entering his fourth NFL season. In 12 games in which Michael Pittman Jr. and Josh Downs were also active last season, Pierce handled 12% of the targets (3.8 per game) and cleared five in a game only once. If we filter to the six games played with Anthony Richardson, Pittman and Downs, Pierce averaged 3.8 targets and 4.4 fantasy points per game, failing to score a TD or clear 10.4 fantasy points in any of the outings. No higher than third on the WR depth chart and a candidate for less work as Adonai Mitchell enters Year 2 and with TE Tyler Warren now in the mix, Pierce is way off the fantasy radar."


"With Riley Leonard getting his first career start at quarterback, Pierce stepped up as the rookie's top downfield option, hauling in a 66-yard score in the first quarter and an eight-yard TD in the second. The fourth-year wideout wasn't able to add to his numbers in the fourth quarter, however, getting ejected late in the third for making contact with an official while complaining about the lack of a pass interference call on a potential third touchdown. Pierce finishes 2025 with career highs in catches (47), yards (1,003) and targets (84) while scoring six TDs, but his fantasy appeal next year will depend a great deal on how the Colts solve their QB dilemma this offseason."

Alec Pierce's target share has decreased by 34.53% over the past 6 weeks.

Alec Pierce's receiving yards have decreased by 44.57% over the past 6 weeks.

Alec Pierce's targets have decreased by 33.33% over the past 6 weeks.

Alec Pierce's receptions have decreased by 50.0% over the past 6 weeks.

Alec Pierce's receiving touchdowns have increased by 200.0% over the past 10 weeks.

Connor Heyward

Pos: TE3, FB1 Team: PIT YoE: 4
Draft: RD 6, PICK 208
Injury Status: H



I. Player News & Analysis


ESPN

RotoWire

Trends


"..."


"Heyward was on the field for just six of the Steelers' 59 offensive snaps, but he was able to make the most of his limited playing time by connecting with quarterback Aaron Rodgers on a touchdown grab midway through the third quarter to gave Pittsburgh a 13-point lead. The touchdown was the first of the season for Heyward, who has notched just two receptions through the team's first five games. The fullback/tight end will continue to handle a limited role on offense in the weeks to come."

Connor Heyward's target share has decreased by 73.61% over the past 16 weeks.

Connor Heyward's targets have decreased by 75.0% over the past 18 weeks.

Connor Heyward's receiving yards have increased by 100% over the past 6 weeks.

Connor Heyward's receptions have increased by 100% over the past 6 weeks.

Connor Heyward's fantasy points have decreased by 73.5% over the past 14 weeks.


II. Historical Performance



FantasyPassingReceivingRushingMisc

Season

Week

Home

Score

Away

PASS%

RUSH%

FPTS

2025

17

PHI

13 - 12

BUF

0.509

0.491

9.8

2025

16

PHI

29 - 18

WSH

0.469

0.531

12.2

2025

15

LV

0 - 31

PHI

0.277

0.723

25.0

2025

14

PHI

19 - 22

LAC

0.615

0.385

15.8

2025

13

CHI

24 - 15

PHI

0.667

0.333

4.7

2025

12

PHI

21 - 24

DAL

0.684

0.316

4.0

2025

11

DET

9 - 16

PHI

0.412

0.588

4.4

2025

10

PHI

10 - 7

GB

0.433

0.567

8.3

2025

8

NYG

20 - 38

PHI

0.377

0.623

17.8

2025

7

PHI

28 - 22

MIN

0.5

0.5

4.8

2025

6

PHI

17 - 34

NYG

0.623

0.377

26.0

2025

5

DEN

21 - 17

PHI

0.776

0.224

10.9

2025

4

PHI

31 - 25

TB

0.429

0.571

19.7

2025

3

LAR

26 - 33

PHI

0.542

0.458

10.3

2025

1

DAL

20 - 24

PHI

0.377

0.623

11.4

2024

18

NYG

13 - 20

PHI

0.621

0.379

9.5

2024

13

PHI

24 - 19

BAL

0.365

0.635

12.5

2024

12

PHI

37 - 20

LAR

0.328

0.672

5.9

2024

11

WSH

18 - 26

PHI

0.412

0.588

11.1

2024

10

PHI

34 - 6

DAL

0.367

0.633

10.5

2024

6

CLE

16 - 20

PHI

0.41

0.59

0.0

2024

4

PHI

16 - 33

TB

0.6

0.4

13.2

2024

3

PHI

15 - 12

NO

0.603

0.397

27.0

2024

2

ATL

22 - 21

PHI

0.448

0.552

6.8

2024

1

GB

29 - 34

PHI

0.472

0.528

7.1

2023

18

PHI

10 - 27

NYG

0.6

0.4

1.4

2023

17

ARI

35 - 31

PHI

0.511

0.489

15.7

2023

16

NYG

25 - 33

PHI

0.521

0.479

14.1

2023

15

PHI

17 - 20

SEA

0.449

0.551

7.1

2023

14

PHI

13 - 33

DAL

0.549

0.451

7.0

2023

9

DAL

23 - 28

PHI

0.411

0.589

8.0

2023

8

PHI

38 - 31

WSH

0.633

0.367

7.6

2023

7

MIA

17 - 31

PHI

0.477

0.523

18.7

2023

6

PHI

14 - 20

NYJ

0.672

0.328

9.2

2023

5

PHI

23 - 14

LAR

0.494

0.506

25.7

2023

4

WSH

31 - 34

PHI

0.578

0.422

4.5

2023

3

PHI

25 - 11

TB

0.481

0.519

9.1

2023

2

MIN

28 - 34

PHI

0.324

0.676

8.2

2023

1

PHI

25 - 20

NE

0.569

0.431

0.0

2022

18

NYG

16 - 22

PHI

0.507

0.493

10.6

2022

17

NO

20 - 10

PHI

0.681

0.319

7.5

2022

16

PHI

34 - 40

DAL

0.58

0.42

9.7

2022

10

WSH

32 - 21

PHI

0.565

0.435

9.3

2022

9

PHI

29 - 17

HOU

0.466

0.534

24.0

2022

8

PIT

13 - 35

PHI

0.6

0.4

12.4

2022

6

DAL

17 - 26

PHI

0.391

0.609

4.2

2022

5

PHI

20 - 17

ARI

0.522

0.478

17.5

2022

4

JAX

21 - 29

PHI

0.333

0.667

12.2

2022

3

PHI

24 - 8

WSH

0.538

0.462

11.6

2022

2

MIN

7 - 24

PHI

0.477

0.523

13.2

2022

1

PHI

38 - 35

DET

0.451

0.549

9.0

2021

17

PHI

20 - 16

WSH

0.433

0.567

13.1

2021

16

NYG

10 - 34

PHI

0.492

0.508

4.8

2021

15

WSH

17 - 27

PHI

0.388

0.612

20.5

2021

13

PHI

33 - 18

NYJ

0.379

0.621

28.5

2021

12

PHI

7 - 13

NYG

0.484

0.516

1.0

2021

11

NO

29 - 40

PHI

0.324

0.676

11.2

2021

10

PHI

30 - 13

DEN

0.371

0.629

4.8

2021

9

LAC

27 - 24

PHI

0.304

0.696

7.3

2021

8

PHI

44 - 6

DET

0.258

0.742

13.2

2021

7

PHI

22 - 33

LV

0.515

0.485

10.0

2021

5

PHI

21 - 18

CAR

0.627

0.373

4.8

2021

4

KC

42 - 30

PHI

0.716

0.284

16.6

2021

3

PHI

21 - 41

DAL

0.765

0.235

8.6

2021

2

SF

17 - 11

PHI

0.453

0.547

4.4

2021

1

PHI

32 - 6

ATL

0.53

0.47

14.2

make your own luck.
nfl-prophet.com © Joseph Poirier, 2024

II. Historical Performance



FantasyPassingReceivingRushingMisc

Season

Week

Home

Score

Away

PASS%

RUSH%

FPTS

2025

18

IND

30 - 38

HOU

0.556

0.444

29.2

2025

17

JAX

23 - 17

IND

0.585

0.415

0.0

2025

16

SF

48 - 27

IND

0.643

0.357

24.6

2025

15

IND

16 - 18

SEA

0.474

0.526

2.6

2025

14

IND

19 - 36

JAX

0.581

0.419

13.0

2025

13

HOU

20 - 16

IND

0.54

0.46

17.8

2025

12

IND

20 - 23

KC

0.62

0.38

3.6

2025

10

ATL

25 - 31

IND

0.388

0.612

18.4

2025

9

IND

20 - 27

PIT

0.725

0.275

17.5

2025

8

TEN

14 - 38

IND

0.633

0.367

8.9

2025

7

IND

38 - 24

LAC

0.596

0.404

14.8

2025

6

ARI

27 - 31

IND

0.526

0.474

6.8

2025

3

IND

41 - 20

TEN

0.472

0.528

10.7

2025

2

DEN

28 - 29

IND

0.515

0.485

10.8

2025

1

MIA

8 - 33

IND

0.42

0.58

4.6

2024

18

JAX

23 - 26

IND

0.541

0.459

13.7

2024

17

IND

33 - 45

NYG

0.535

0.465

24.2

2024

15

IND

13 - 31

DEN

0.543

0.457

0.0

2024

13

IND

25 - 24

NE

0.414

0.586

9.6

2024

12

DET

24 - 6

IND

0.571

0.429

4.9

2024

11

IND

28 - 27

NYJ

0.462

0.538

10.4

2024

10

BUF

30 - 20

IND

0.614

0.386

18.1

2024

9

IND

13 - 21

MIN

0.587

0.413

7.1

2024

8

IND

20 - 23

HOU

0.552

0.448

2.1

2024

7

MIA

10 - 16

IND

0.393

0.607

3.5

2024

6

IND

20 - 17

TEN

0.576

0.424

0.0

2024

5

IND

34 - 37

JAX

0.692

0.308

22.4

2024

4

PIT

24 - 27

IND

0.484

0.516

1.9

2024

3

CHI

16 - 21

IND

0.377

0.623

5.4

2024

2

IND

10 - 16

GB

0.654

0.346

16.6

2024

1

HOU

29 - 27

IND

0.463

0.537

21.5

2023

18

HOU

23 - 19

IND

0.393

0.607

0.0

2023

17

LV

20 - 23

IND

0.442

0.558

12.8

2023

16

IND

10 - 29

ATL

0.597

0.403

6.0

2023

15

PIT

13 - 30

IND

0.452

0.548

2.3

2023

14

IND

14 - 34

CIN

0.684

0.316

4.2

2023

13

IND

31 - 28

TEN

0.646

0.354

19.0

2023

12

TB

20 - 27

IND

0.603

0.397

6.7

2023

10

IND

10 - 6

NE

0.519

0.481

3.1

2023

9

IND

27 - 13

CAR

0.464

0.536

0.0

2023

8

NO

38 - 27

IND

0.631

0.369

7.1

2023

7

CLE

39 - 38

IND

0.365

0.635

8.3

2023

6

IND

20 - 37

JAX

0.764

0.236

5.5

2023

5

TEN

16 - 23

IND

0.433

0.567

2.0

2023

4

LAR

29 - 23

IND

0.446

0.554

4.8

2023

3

IND

22 - 19

BAL

0.557

0.443

7.3

2023

2

IND

31 - 20

HOU

0.589

0.411

4.8

2023

1

JAX

31 - 21

IND

0.6

0.4

1.5

2022

18

HOU

32 - 31

IND

0.515

0.485

7.2

2022

17

IND

10 - 38

NYG

0.5

0.5

4.5

2022

16

LAC

20 - 3

IND

0.674

0.326

5.6

2022

15

IND

36 - 39

MIN

0.434

0.566

0.0

2022

13

IND

19 - 54

DAL

0.552

0.448

18.6

2022

12

PIT

24 - 17

IND

0.576

0.424

0.0

2022

11

PHI

17 - 16

IND

0.552

0.448

5.8

2022

10

IND

25 - 20

LV

0.483

0.517

0.0

2022

9

IND

3 - 26

NE

0.569

0.431

3.3

2022

8

WSH

17 - 16

IND

0.442

0.558

9.5

2022

7

IND

10 - 19

TEN

0.721

0.279

6.7

2022

6

JAX

27 - 34

IND

0.784

0.216

13.9

2022

5

IND

12 - 9

DEN

0.612

0.388

16.1

2022

4

TEN

24 - 17

IND

0.617

0.383

12.0

2022

3

KC

17 - 20

IND

0.578

0.422

9.1

2022

1

IND

20 - 20

HOU

0.568

0.432

0.0

make your own luck.
nfl-prophet.com © Joseph Poirier, 2024

II. Historical Performance



FantasyPassingReceivingRushingMisc

Season

Week

Home

Score

Away

PASS%

RUSH%

FPTS

2025

6

CLE

9 - 23

PIT

0.517

0.483

8.2

2025

4

MIN

21 - 24

PIT

0.431

0.569

0.2

2025

3

PIT

21 - 14

NE

0.469

0.531

0.0

2025

2

SEA

31 - 17

PIT

0.625

0.375

1.6

2025

1

PIT

34 - 32

NYJ

0.6

0.4

0.0

2024

18

CIN

19 - 17

PIT

0.574

0.426

0.0

2024

17

KC

29 - 10

PIT

0.544

0.456

1.8

2024

16

PIT

17 - 34

BAL

0.579

0.421

1.3

2024

15

PIT

13 - 27

PHI

0.564

0.436

0.0

2024

14

CLE

14 - 27

PIT

0.426

0.574

0.0

2024

13

PIT

44 - 38

CIN

0.594

0.406

0.0

2024

12

PIT

19 - 24

CLE

0.46

0.54

0.0

2024

11

BAL

16 - 18

PIT

0.514

0.486

0.0

2024

10

PIT

28 - 27

WSH

0.403

0.597

0.0

2024

8

NYG

18 - 26

PIT

0.475

0.525

0.0

2024

7

NYJ

15 - 37

PIT

0.446

0.554

0.0

2024

6

PIT

32 - 13

LV

0.407

0.593

1.4

2024

5

DAL

20 - 17

PIT

0.519

0.481

10.3

2024

4

PIT

24 - 27

IND

0.531

0.469

0.0

2024

3

LAC

10 - 20

PIT

0.508

0.492

1.2

2024

2

PIT

13 - 6

DEN

0.357

0.643

0.0

2024

1

PIT

18 - 10

ATL

0.359

0.641

0.0

2023

18

PIT

17 - 10

BAL

0.339

0.661

2.4

2023

17

PIT

30 - 23

SEA

0.343

0.657

0.0

2023

16

CIN

11 - 34

PIT

0.474

0.526

0.0

2023

15

PIT

13 - 30

IND

0.52

0.48

0.0

2023

14

NE

21 - 18

PIT

0.562

0.438

3.5

2023

13

ARI

24 - 10

PIT

0.466

0.534

0.0

2023

12

PIT

16 - 10

CIN

0.5

0.5

3.1

2023

11

PIT

10 - 13

CLE

0.519

0.481

0.0

2023

10

GB

19 - 23

PIT

0.39

0.61

6.2

2023

9

TEN

16 - 20

PIT

0.5

0.5

3.6

2023

8

JAX

20 - 10

PIT

0.705

0.295

7.4

2023

7

PIT

24 - 17

LAR

0.463

0.537

4.3

2023

5

BAL

10 - 17

PIT

0.516

0.484

5.3

2023

4

PIT

6 - 30

HOU

0.528

0.472

0.0

2023

3

PIT

23 - 18

LV

0.475

0.525

0.0

2023

2

CLE

22 - 26

PIT

0.588

0.412

0.0

2023

1

SF

30 - 7

PIT

0.821

0.179

3.9

2022

18

CLE

14 - 28

PIT

0.439

0.561

8.1

2022

17

PIT

16 - 13

BAL

0.397

0.603

0.0

2022

16

LV

10 - 13

PIT

0.591

0.409

2.1

2022

15

PIT

24 - 16

CAR

0.328

0.672

0.0

2022

14

BAL

16 - 14

PIT

0.608

0.392

2.3

2022

13

PIT

19 - 16

ATL

0.431

0.569

8.7

2022

12

PIT

24 - 17

IND

0.438

0.562

0.0

2022

11

CIN

37 - 30

PIT

0.636

0.364

0.0

2022

10

NO

10 - 20

PIT

0.411

0.589

2.9

2022

8

PIT

13 - 35

PHI

0.625

0.375

0.0

2022

7

PIT

10 - 16

MIA

0.657

0.343

1.6

2022

6

TB

18 - 20

PIT

0.508

0.492

6.9

2022

5

PIT

3 - 38

BUF

0.754

0.246

3.2

2022

4

NYJ

24 - 20

PIT

0.456

0.544

0.0

2022

3

PIT

17 - 29

CLE

0.593

0.407

0.0

2022

2

NE

17 - 14

PIT

0.6

0.4

0.0

2022

1

PIT

23 - 20

CIN

0.633

0.367

0.0

make your own luck.
nfl-prophet.com © Joseph Poirier, 2024