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Pos: TE1 Team: undefined YoE: undefined
Draft: RD undefined, PICK undefined
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I. Player News & Analysis


ESPN

RotoWire

Trends


"Kincaid failed to clear 13.1 fantasy points in a single game last season, which is pretty hard to believe when you consider he handled a 20.3% target share (5.8 per game) in a Josh Allen-led offense that averaged 3.6 touchdowns per game (the highest ever by an Allen offense). Kincaid got seven-plus targets in six of 13 regular-season games, but never cleared 53 yards in a single outing and found the end zone only twice. He finished 15th at tight end in targets despite four missed games, but was 26th in catches and 28th in yards thanks to an ugly 59% catch rate and 6.0 YPT. Kincaid's pedigree (2023 first-rounder), heavy usage and the strong Buffalo offense provide hope for a Year 3 leap, but he's risky after such an underwhelming 2024. Consider him a fringe TE1."


"After missing Week 17 with a knee injury, Kincaid was able to log some reps even while the Bills rested most of their other key contributors in the regular-season finale. With the team's lack of a true No. 1 wide receiver, Kincaid could be called upon to play a pivotal role in the passing game during the playoffs if Buffalo is going to make a postseason run. Kincaid posted a pair of 100-yard receiving games during his 12 appearances in the regular season but was also held under 50 yards nine times."

Dalton Kincaid's receiving yards have decreased by 53.42% over the past 6 weeks.

Dalton Kincaid's target share has decreased by 30.34% over the past 8 weeks.

Dalton Kincaid's targets have decreased by 23.53% over the past 8 weeks.

Dalton Kincaid's receptions have decreased by 35.71% over the past 8 weeks.

Dalton Kincaid's receiving touchdowns have decreased by 50.0% over the past 8 weeks.


II. Historical Performance



Season

Week

Home

Score

Away

PASS%

RUSH%

FPTS

2025

18

NYJ

8 - 35

BUF

0.403

0.597

7.8

2025

16

BUF

23 - 20

CLE

0.396

0.604

0.0

2025

15

BUF

35 - 31

NE

0.431

0.569

6.4

2025

14

CIN

34 - 39

BUF

0.491

0.509

14.1

2025

10

BUF

13 - 30

MIA

0.645

0.355

5.7

2025

9

KC

21 - 28

BUF

0.426

0.574

22.1

2025

8

BUF

40 - 9

CAR

0.397

0.603

3.3

2025

5

NE

23 - 20

BUF

0.517

0.483

16.8

2025

4

NO

19 - 31

BUF

0.407

0.593

9.8

2025

3

MIA

21 - 31

BUF

0.509

0.491

17.6

2025

2

BUF

30 - 10

NYJ

0.386

0.614

7.7

2025

1

BAL

40 - 41

BUF

0.597

0.403

14.8

2024

17

NYJ

14 - 40

BUF

0.452

0.548

4.4

2024

16

NE

21 - 24

BUF

0.509

0.491

5.5

2024

15

BUF

48 - 42

DET

0.5

0.5

9.3

2024

10

BUF

30 - 20

IND

0.544

0.456

4.4

2024

9

MIA

27 - 30

BUF

0.672

0.328

7.2

2024

8

BUF

31 - 10

SEA

0.5

0.5

13.1

2024

7

TEN

10 - 34

BUF

0.623

0.377

8.2

2024

6

BUF

23 - 20

NYJ

0.431

0.569

11.1

2024

5

BUF

20 - 23

HOU

0.517

0.483

5.4

2024

4

BUF

10 - 35

BAL

0.574

0.426

9.7

2024

3

JAX

10 - 47

BUF

0.517

0.483

13.1

2024

2

BUF

31 - 10

MIA

0.422

0.578

7.3

2024

1

ARI

28 - 34

BUF

0.411

0.589

2.1

2023

18

BUF

21 - 14

MIA

0.514

0.486

15.4

2023

17

NE

21 - 27

BUF

0.448

0.552

12.7

2023

16

BUF

24 - 22

LAC

0.412

0.588

1.7

2023

15

DAL

10 - 31

BUF

0.234

0.766

0.0

2023

14

BUF

20 - 17

KC

0.6

0.4

7.1

2023

12

BUF

34 - 37

PHI

0.56

0.44

8.8

2023

11

NYJ

6 - 32

BUF

0.457

0.543

10.6

2023

10

DEN

24 - 22

BUF

0.5

0.5

16.1

2023

9

BUF

18 - 24

CIN

0.704

0.296

16.1

2023

8

TB

18 - 24

BUF

0.606

0.394

17.5

2023

7

BUF

25 - 29

NE

0.631

0.369

15.5

2023

5

JAX

25 - 20

BUF

0.741

0.259

3.9

2023

4

MIA

20 - 48

BUF

0.463

0.537

6.7

2023

3

BUF

37 - 3

WSH

0.492

0.508

2.3

2023

2

LV

10 - 38

BUF

0.514

0.486

9.3

2023

1

BUF

16 - 22

NYJ

0.651

0.349

6.6