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Brian Thomas Jr.

Pos: WR1 Team: JAX YoE: 2
Draft: RD 1, PICK 23
Injury Status: H



I. Player News & Analysis


ESPN

RotoWire

Trends


"Three. That's the number of wide receivers selected before Thomas in the 2024 draft and it's also the number of wide receivers who outscored him in fantasy during his rookie season. The LSU product finished in the top 5 among receivers in both yards and TDs despite ranking 29th in routes and 19th in targets. Thomas' volume will need to increase in Year 2 in order to sustain WR1 fantasy production and, while it's reasonable to expect that boost, it's worth noting he had six 10-plus target games with backup Mac Jones (22.9 fantasy PPG those six weeks) but zero with starter Trevor Lawrence (14.4). The bottom line is Thomas appears to be the real deal and, even with Travis Hunter added to the mix, he has a path to a massive target share in a Liam Coen scheme that was extremely generous to Tampa Bay's wide receivers. Thomas is a good back-end WR1 target."


"It was a frustrating start to his second NFL season for Thomas, but he salvaged his day with a TD on an end-around in the second quarter. Better days will be ahead for the LSU product as the Jaguars adjust to new coach Liam Coen's scheme, but the 1-11-0 line is already worse than Thomas had in any game as a rookie. He'll look for bigger volume and better production on the road Week 2 against the Bengals."

Brian Thomas Jr.'s target share has increased by 83.11% over the past 12 weeks.

Brian Thomas Jr.'s receiving yards have decreased by 36.53% over the past 6 weeks.

Brian Thomas Jr.'s targets have increased by 103.03% over the past 12 weeks.

Brian Thomas Jr.'s receiving touchdowns have decreased by 66.67% over the past 6 weeks.

Brian Thomas Jr.'s receptions have decreased by 44.44% over the past 6 weeks.


II. Historical Performance



Season

Week

Home

Score

Away

PASS%

RUSH%

FPTS

2025

1

CAR

10 - 26

JAX

0.492

0.508

9.0

2024

18

JAX

23 - 26

IND

0.485

0.515

17.3

2024

17

TEN

13 - 20

JAX

0.4

0.6

23.9

2024

16

JAX

14 - 19

LV

0.65

0.35

28.2

2024

15

NYJ

32 - 25

JAX

0.613

0.387

32.5

2024

14

JAX

10 - 6

TEN

0.544

0.456

16.6

2024

13

HOU

23 - 20

JAX

0.627

0.373

18.7

2024

11

JAX

6 - 52

DET

0.63

0.37

13.6

2024

10

MIN

12 - 7

JAX

0.55

0.45

3.2

2024

9

JAX

23 - 28

PHI

0.633

0.367

4.2

2024

8

GB

30 - 27

JAX

0.582

0.418

15.0

2024

7

NE

16 - 32

JAX

0.339

0.661

20.1

2024

6

JAX

16 - 35

CHI

0.643

0.357

5.7

2024

5

IND

34 - 37

JAX

0.596

0.404

23.2

2024

4

JAX

20 - 24

HOU

0.579

0.421

21.9

2024

3

JAX

10 - 47

BUF

0.73

0.27

9.8

2024

2

CLE

18 - 13

JAX

0.588

0.412

11.4

2024

1

JAX

17 - 20

MIA

0.447

0.553

14.7