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Fantasy Projections

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I. Player News & Analysis


ESPN

RotoWire

Trends


"Kelce is a future Hall of Famer, but his days as an elite fantasy tight end may be over. Kelce's targets and receptions actually increased from 2023 to 2024, but he saw a big dip in yards (823), TDs (three), yards per target (6.1) and RAC (3.5), all of which were career lows. After finishing no lower than third in fantasy points (second in PPG) in eight straight seasons, Kelce fell to fifth (seventh in PPG) in 2024. He will continue to benefit from Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs' pass-heavy offense, but especially with the team's WR upgrades, the 35-year-old is now more of a midrange TE1."


"The Chiefs predictably struggled to move the ball with the combination of Chris Oladokun and Shane Buechele leading the offense. Kelce still managed to hit a few milestones to add to his storied career, becoming the third tight end to 13,000 receiving yards in his career while also recording at least 75 receptions for the 10th straight season. Retirement rumors will now become prevalent until Kelce makes a decision about his playing future, and this could prove to be his final game in the NFL."

Travis Kelce's target share has increased by 55.68% over the past 6 weeks.

Travis Kelce's receiving yards have decreased by 51.02% over the past 8 weeks.

Travis Kelce's receptions have decreased by 36.36% over the past 8 weeks.

Travis Kelce's receiving touchdowns have decreased by 66.67% over the past 12 weeks.

Travis Kelce's targets have decreased by 20.0% over the past 8 weeks.


II. Historical Performance



Season

Week

Home

Score

Away

PASS%

RUSH%

FPTS

2025

18

BAL

24 - 26

PIT

0.4

0.6

0.0

2025

17

BAL

41 - 24

GB

0.274

0.726

0.0

2025

16

NE

28 - 24

BAL

0.377

0.623

8.1

2025

15

BAL

24 - 0

CIN

0.333

0.667

4.2

2025

14

PIT

27 - 22

BAL

0.467

0.533

0.0

2025

13

CIN

32 - 14

BAL

0.593

0.407

4.5

2025

12

NYJ

10 - 23

BAL

0.404

0.596

3.3

2025

11

BAL

23 - 16

CLE

0.455

0.545

2.1

2025

10

BAL

27 - 19

MIN

0.446

0.554

3.6

2025

9

BAL

28 - 6

MIA

0.426

0.574

0.0

2025

8

CHI

16 - 30

BAL

0.386

0.614

2.4

2025

6

LAR

17 - 3

BAL

0.479

0.521

4.0

2025

5

HOU

44 - 10

BAL

0.513

0.487

6.6

2025

4

BAL

20 - 37

KC

0.66

0.34

0.0

2025

3

DET

38 - 30

BAL

0.596

0.404

2.3

2025

2

CLE

17 - 41

BAL

0.58

0.42

14.4

2025

1

BAL

40 - 41

BUF

0.396

0.604

11.5

2024

17

KC

29 - 10

PIT

0.655

0.345

2.7

2024

16

HOU

19 - 27

KC

0.594

0.406

7.7

2024

15

KC

21 - 7

CLE

0.533

0.467

8.6

2024

14

LAC

17 - 19

KC

0.597

0.403

13.2

2024

13

LV

17 - 19

KC

0.742

0.258

13.0

2024

12

KC

30 - 27

CAR

0.587

0.413

14.5

2024

11

KC

21 - 30

BUF

0.66

0.34

5.9

2024

10

DEN

14 - 16

KC

0.689

0.311

9.6

2024

9

TB

24 - 30

KC

0.557

0.443

28.6

2024

8

KC

27 - 20

LV

0.567

0.433

4.9

2024

7

TEN

10 - 34

BUF

0.625

0.375

0.8

2024

6

IND

20 - 17

TEN

0.491

0.509

9.4

2024

4

TEN

31 - 12

MIA

0.344

0.656

5.1

2024

3

GB

30 - 14

TEN

0.756

0.244

19.3

2024

2

NYJ

24 - 17

TEN

0.5

0.5

1.9

2024

1

TEN

17 - 24

CHI

0.552

0.448

1.8

2023

18

JAX

20 - 28

TEN

0.509

0.491

17.6

2023

17

TEN

3 - 26

HOU

0.553

0.447

14.2

2023

16

SEA

20 - 17

TEN

0.466

0.534

4.0

2023

15

HOU

19 - 16

TEN

0.464

0.536

4.1

2023

14

TEN

28 - 27

MIA

0.567

0.433

25.4

2023

13

IND

31 - 28

TEN

0.44

0.56

18.9

2023

12

CAR

10 - 17

TEN

0.538

0.462

7.9

2023

11

TEN

14 - 34

JAX

0.472

0.528

15.9

2023

10

TEN

6 - 20

TB

0.709

0.291

5.7

2023

9

TEN

16 - 20

PIT

0.609

0.391

10.5

2023

8

ATL

23 - 28

TEN

0.446

0.554

34.8

2023

6

BAL

24 - 16

TEN

0.525

0.475

3.0

2023

5

TEN

16 - 23

IND

0.614

0.386

22.0

2023

4

CIN

3 - 27

TEN

0.441

0.559

10.3

2023

3

TEN

3 - 27

CLE

0.625

0.375

7.8

2023

2

LAC

24 - 27

TEN

0.414

0.586

8.0

2023

1

TEN

15 - 16

NO

0.607

0.393

13.5

2022

16

TB

19 - 16

ARI

0.63

0.37

1.4

2022

15

ARI

15 - 24

DEN

0.643

0.357

13.0

2022

14

NE

27 - 13

ARI

0.651

0.349

12.9

2022

12

LAC

25 - 24

ARI

0.46

0.54

18.7

2022

11

SF

38 - 10

ARI

0.647

0.353

18.1

2022

10

ARI

27 - 17

LAR

0.587

0.413

19.8

2022

9

SEA

31 - 21

ARI

0.625

0.375

13.6

2022

8

ARI

26 - 34

MIN

0.667

0.333

33.9

2022

7

NO

34 - 42

ARI

0.5

0.5

20.3

2021

14

LAR

30 - 23

ARI

0.69

0.31

10.4

2021

13

ARI

33 - 22

CHI

0.3

0.7

11.2

2021

8

GB

24 - 21

ARI

0.623

0.377

8.6

2021

7

HOU

5 - 31

ARI

0.431

0.569

18.3

2021

6

ARI

37 - 14

CLE

0.448

0.552

20.5

2021

5

SF

10 - 17

ARI

0.534

0.466

20.7

2021

4

ARI

37 - 20

LAR

0.444

0.556

10.7

2021

3

ARI

31 - 19

JAX

0.531

0.469

5.1

2021

2

MIN

33 - 34

ARI

0.632

0.368

15.4

2021

1

ARI

38 - 13

TEN

0.492

0.508

26.3