NFL Prophet
NFL Prophet About >> Weekly Predictions >> Playoff Odds >> Fantasy Projections >> Previous Matchups

Aaron Jones

Pos: RB1 Team: MIN YoE: 8
Draft: RD 5, PICK 182
Injury Status: H



I. Player News & Analysis


ESPN

RotoWire

Trends


"..."


"Miller was elevated from the practice squad to the active roster Saturday, but the undrafted free agent out of South Carolina will not play in Sunday's regular-season finale as the Giants roll with a three-man backfield of rookie Tyrone Tracy, Devin Singletary and Eric Gray. Miller was elevated to the 53-man roster for Week 5 and 6 and played eight snaps (one on offense, seven on special teams) across the two games, but otherwise did not show up on the box score."

Aaron Jones

Pos: RB1 Team: MIN YoE: 8
Draft: RD 5, PICK 182
Injury Status: H



I. Player News & Analysis


ESPN

RotoWire

Trends


"Tolbert is back in Dallas for his fourth NFL season. A situational player during his first two campaigns, Tolbert played 76% of Dallas' offensive snaps in 2025. That didn't translate to much usage, however, as he averaged just 4.6 targets per game. Tolbert scored seven TDs, but ranked outside the top 50 receivers in targets, catches, yards and fantasy PPG. The 26-year-old will play a lesser role in 2025 after Dallas added George Pickens as the team's No. 2 receiver behind superstar CeeDee Lamb. Even with a healthy Dak Prescott, Tolbert is a poor bet to come close to weekly flex production."


"Tolbert enjoyed a breakout of sorts in 2024, his third pro season, with a 49-610-7 receiving line on 79 targets, notably scoring on five of his seven catches inside the 10-yard line. He's never earned targets at a high rate, however, and even last season he saw the ball on just 14.8 percent of routes, the sixth-lowest mark among WRs with 500-plus routes. Tolbert's potential competition for the No. 3 role is explosive return man KaVontae Turpin, who ran only 201 routes last season but was targeted on 25.9 percent of them, and Jonathan Mingo, a 2023 second-round pick of the Panthers who has yet to make an impact as a pro."

Jalen Tolbert's receiving yards have increased by 184.62% over the past 6 weeks.

Jalen Tolbert's receptions have increased by 200.0% over the past 6 weeks.

Jalen Tolbert's target share has increased by 44.4% over the past 6 weeks.

Jalen Tolbert's targets have increased by 44.44% over the past 6 weeks.

Jalen Tolbert's receiving touchdowns have increased by 200.0% over the past 8 weeks.

Aaron Jones

Pos: RB1 Team: MIN YoE: 8
Draft: RD 5, PICK 182
Injury Status: H



I. Player News & Analysis


ESPN

RotoWire

Trends


"Jones re-signed with Minnesota after a successful 2024 campaign, in which he appeared in all 17 regular-season games and ranked top 10 among RBs in carries, targets, touches and yards. Jones, who played a career-high 64% of the offensive snaps, was effective as a rusher and receiver but had the league's worst touchdown luck (seven TDs, 12.8 expected), which limited him to a 20th-place finish in fantasy PPG. Scoring regression is a strong bet in 2025, but Jones is now 30 years old, working in a pass-first scheme and will defer work (perhaps substantial work) to newcomer Jordan Mason. Jones should be viewed as a flex option."


"O'Connell specifically mentioned goal-line and short-yardage situations as areas where Mason can help, noting that the Vikings "left a lot to be desired" in those situations last year. Jones returns as the starter after signing a two-year, $20 million contract, but it sounds like he's a long shot to match last season's career highs for snaps (700), rush attempts (255) and touches (306). The only disappointment in 2024 was scoring three times on 24 carries inside the 10-yard line, with just seven total TDs (five rushing) despite playing all 17 games and recording 1,546 yards from scrimmage (his most since 2019) at rates of 4.5 yards per carry and 8.0 per catch. While ceding goal-line carries is never a good thing for fantasy value, Mason's physical presence could help the 30-year-old Jones stay healthy and maintain his strong per-touch yardage production."

Aaron Jones' targets have increased by 77.78% over the past 6 weeks.

Aaron Jones' rushing yards per attempt has decreased by 17.97% over the past 6 weeks.

Aaron Jones' rushing attempts have decreased by 29.63% over the past 12 weeks.

Aaron Jones' rushing touchdowns have increased by 200.0% over the past 14 weeks.

Aaron Jones' rushing attempt share has increased by 16.18% over the past 6 weeks.


II. Historical Performance



Season

Week

Home

Score

Away

INT

SACK

2PT

2024

6

CIN

17 - 7

NYG

0.0

0.0

0.0

2024

5

NYG

29 - 20

SEA

0.0

0.0

0.0


II. Historical Performance



Season

Week

Home

Score

Away

INT

SACK

2PT

2024

18

WSH

23 - 19

DAL

0.0

0.0

0.0

2024

17

DAL

7 - 41

PHI

0.0

0.0

0.0

2024

16

TB

24 - 26

DAL

0.0

0.0

0.0

2024

15

DAL

30 - 14

CAR

0.0

0.0

0.0

2024

14

CIN

27 - 20

DAL

0.0

0.0

0.0

2024

13

NYG

20 - 27

DAL

0.0

0.0

0.0

2024

12

DAL

34 - 26

WSH

0.0

0.0

0.0

2024

11

HOU

34 - 10

DAL

0.0

0.0

0.0

2024

10

PHI

34 - 6

DAL

0.0

0.0

0.0

2024

9

DAL

21 - 27

ATL

0.0

0.0

0.0

2024

8

DAL

24 - 30

SF

0.0

0.0

0.0

2024

6

DET

47 - 9

DAL

0.0

0.0

0.0

2024

5

DAL

20 - 17

PIT

0.0

0.0

0.0

2024

4

DAL

20 - 15

NYG

0.0

0.0

0.0

2024

3

BAL

28 - 25

DAL

0.0

0.0

0.0

2024

2

NO

44 - 19

DAL

0.0

0.0

0.0

2024

1

DAL

33 - 17

CLE

0.0

0.0

0.0

2023

18

DAL

38 - 10

WSH

0.0

0.0

0.0

2023

17

DET

19 - 20

DAL

0.0

0.0

0.0

2023

16

DAL

20 - 22

MIA

0.0

0.0

0.0

2023

15

DAL

10 - 31

BUF

0.0

0.0

0.0

2023

14

PHI

13 - 33

DAL

0.0

0.0

0.0

2023

13

SEA

35 - 41

DAL

0.0

0.0

0.0

2023

12

WSH

10 - 45

DAL

0.0

0.0

0.0

2023

11

DAL

33 - 10

CAR

0.0

0.0

0.0

2023

10

NYG

17 - 49

DAL

0.0

0.0

0.0

2023

9

DAL

23 - 28

PHI

0.0

0.0

0.0

2023

8

LAR

20 - 43

DAL

0.0

0.0

0.0

2023

6

DAL

20 - 17

LAC

0.0

0.0

0.0

2023

5

DAL

10 - 42

SF

0.0

0.0

0.0

2023

4

NE

3 - 38

DAL

0.0

0.0

0.0

2023

3

DAL

16 - 28

ARI

0.0

0.0

0.0

2023

2

NYJ

10 - 30

DAL

0.0

0.0

0.0

2023

1

DAL

40 - 0

NYG

0.0

0.0

0.0

2022

13

IND

19 - 54

DAL

0.0

0.0

0.0

2022

12

NYG

20 - 28

DAL

0.0

0.0

0.0

2022

11

DAL

40 - 3

MIN

0.0

0.0

0.0

2022

10

DAL

28 - 31

GB

0.0

0.0

0.0

2022

8

CHI

29 - 49

DAL

0.0

0.0

0.0

2022

7

DET

6 - 24

DAL

0.0

0.0

0.0

2022

6

DAL

17 - 26

PHI

0.0

0.0

0.0

2022

3

DAL

23 - 16

NYG

0.0

0.0

0.0


II. Historical Performance



Season

Week

Home

Score

Away

INT

SACK

2PT

2024

18

MIN

9 - 31

DET

0.0

0.0

0.0

2024

17

GB

25 - 27

MIN

0.0

0.0

0.0

2024

16

MIN

27 - 24

SEA

0.0

0.0

0.0

2024

15

CHI

12 - 30

MIN

0.0

0.0

0.0

2024

14

ATL

21 - 42

MIN

0.0

0.0

0.0

2024

13

ARI

22 - 23

MIN

0.0

0.0

0.0

2024

12

MIN

30 - 27

CHI

0.0

0.0

0.0

2024

11

MIN

23 - 13

TEN

0.0

0.0

0.0

2024

10

MIN

12 - 7

JAX

0.0

0.0

0.0

2024

9

IND

13 - 21

MIN

0.0

0.0

0.0

2024

8

MIN

20 - 30

LAR

0.0

0.0

0.0

2024

7

DET

31 - 29

MIN

0.0

0.0

0.0

2024

5

NYJ

17 - 23

MIN

0.0

0.0

0.0

2024

4

MIN

31 - 29

GB

0.0

0.0

0.0

2024

3

HOU

7 - 34

MIN

0.0

0.0

0.0

2024

2

SF

17 - 23

MIN

0.0

0.0

0.0

2024

1

MIN

28 - 6

NYG

0.0

0.0

0.0

2023

18

CHI

9 - 17

GB

0.0

0.0

0.0

2023

17

GB

33 - 10

MIN

0.0

0.0

0.0

2023

16

GB

33 - 30

CAR

0.0

0.0

0.0

2023

15

TB

34 - 20

GB

0.0

0.0

0.0

2023

11

LAC

20 - 23

GB

0.0

0.0

0.0

2023

10

GB

19 - 23

PIT

0.0

0.0

0.0

2023

9

LAR

3 - 20

GB

0.0

0.0

0.0

2023

8

MIN

24 - 10

GB

0.0

0.0

0.0

2023

7

GB

17 - 19

DEN

0.0

0.0

0.0

2023

4

DET

34 - 20

GB

0.0

0.0

0.0

2023

1

GB

38 - 20

CHI

0.0

0.0

0.0

2022

18

DET

20 - 16

GB

0.0

0.0

0.0

2022

17

MIN

17 - 41

GB

0.0

0.0

0.0

2022

16

GB

26 - 20

MIA

0.0

0.0

0.0

2022

15

LAR

12 - 24

GB

0.0

0.0

0.0

2022

13

GB

28 - 19

CHI

0.0

0.0

0.0

2022

12

GB

33 - 40

PHI

0.0

0.0

0.0

2022

11

TEN

27 - 17

GB

0.0

0.0

0.0

2022

10

DAL

28 - 31

GB

0.0

0.0

0.0

2022

9

GB

9 - 15

DET

0.0

0.0

0.0

2022

8

GB

17 - 27

BUF

0.0

0.0

0.0

2022

7

GB

21 - 23

WSH

0.0

0.0

0.0

2022

6

NYJ

27 - 10

GB

0.0

0.0

0.0

2022

5

NYG

27 - 22

GB

0.0

0.0

0.0

2022

4

NE

24 - 27

GB

0.0

0.0

0.0

2022

3

GB

14 - 12

TB

0.0

0.0

0.0

2022

2

CHI

10 - 27

GB

0.0

0.0

0.0

2022

1

GB

7 - 23

MIN

0.0

0.0

0.0

2021

17

MIN

10 - 37

GB

0.0

0.0

0.0

2021

16

CLE

22 - 24

GB

0.0

0.0

0.0

2021

15

GB

31 - 30

BAL

0.0

0.0

0.0

2021

14

CHI

30 - 45

GB

0.0

0.0

0.0

2021

12

LAR

28 - 36

GB

0.0

0.0

0.0

2021

10

SEA

0 - 17

GB

0.0

0.0

0.0

2021

9

GB

7 - 13

KC

0.0

0.0

0.0

2021

8

GB

24 - 21

ARI

0.0

0.0

0.0

2021

7

WSH

10 - 24

GB

0.0

0.0

0.0

2021

6

GB

24 - 14

CHI

0.0

0.0

0.0

2021

5

GB

25 - 22

CIN

0.0

0.0

0.0

2021

4

PIT

17 - 27

GB

0.0

0.0

0.0

2021

3

GB

30 - 28

SF

0.0

0.0

0.0

2021

2

DET

17 - 35

GB

0.0

0.0

0.0

2021

1

GB

3 - 38

NO

0.0

0.0

0.0