NFL Prophet
NFL Prophet About >> Weekly Predictions >> Playoff Odds >> Fantasy Projections >> Previous Matchups

Courtland Sutton

Pos: WR1 Team: DEN YoE: 8
Draft: RD 2, PICK 40
Injury Status: H



I. Player News & Analysis


ESPN

RotoWire

Trends


"Ferguson enters 2025 with eyes on a rebound after he fell from 10th in fantasy PPG in 2023 to 23rd last season. He essentially missed four full games, but still finished ninth among TEs in targets. The main issue was touchdowns, as he fell from five scores and a position-high 10 end zone targets in 2023 to zero TDs and two end zone targets in 2024. His 88 targets were easily the most among all players without a TD catch. Having Dak Prescott back will help, as Ferguson averaged 10.2 fantasy PPG in seven games with Prescott (not far off his 10.4 PPG in 2023), compared to 5.2 PPG in six full games when he was out. Ferguson is a solid TE2 who could flirt with weekly top-12 numbers."


"Ferguson was able to play in Week 18 after opening the week limited at practice with a calf issue, but he was limited to just one catch for the second straight week. The tight end sputtered into the finish line this season, failing to reach 20 receiving yards in each of his final four contests. Ferguson completed his fourth campaign in Dallas having reeled in a career-high 82 passes on 102 targets for 600 yards and eight touchdowns over 17 regular-season contests, and he'll likely enter next year as the team's undisputed No. 1 tight end."

Jake Ferguson's receiving yards have decreased by 73.38% over the past 6 weeks.

Jake Ferguson's target share has decreased by 39.57% over the past 6 weeks.

Jake Ferguson's targets have decreased by 47.37% over the past 6 weeks.

Jake Ferguson's receptions have decreased by 60.0% over the past 6 weeks.

Jake Ferguson's receiving touchdowns have decreased by 75.0+% over the past 12 weeks.


II. Historical Performance



FantasyPassingReceivingRushingMisc

Season

Week

Home

Score

Away

PASS%

RUSH%

FPTS

2025

12

BUF

19 - 23

HOU

0.586

0.414

0.7

2025

10

BUF

13 - 30

MIA

0.645

0.355

2.8

2025

9

KC

21 - 28

BUF

0.426

0.574

3.8

2025

8

BUF

40 - 9

CAR

0.397

0.603

2.4

2025

6

BUF

14 - 24

ATL

0.52

0.48

0.0

2025

4

NO

19 - 31

BUF

0.407

0.593

0.0

2025

3

MIA

21 - 31

BUF

0.509

0.491

6.1

2025

2

BUF

30 - 10

NYJ

0.386

0.614

10.7

2025

1

BAL

40 - 41

BUF

0.597

0.403

2.1

2024

18

CLE

10 - 35

BAL

0.642

0.358

6.6

2024

17

MIA

20 - 3

CLE

0.627

0.373

1.1

2024

16

CLE

6 - 24

CIN

0.586

0.414

4.1

2024

15

KC

21 - 7

CLE

0.618

0.382

1.9

2024

14

CLE

14 - 27

PIT

0.621

0.379

6.4

2024

13

CLE

32 - 41

DEN

0.716

0.284

19.2

2024

12

PIT

19 - 24

CLE

0.5

0.5

5.1

2024

11

CLE

14 - 35

NO

0.701

0.299

18.6

2024

9

LAC

27 - 10

CLE

0.657

0.343

5.8

2024

8

BAL

24 - 29

CLE

0.641

0.359

16.5

2024

7

CIN

21 - 14

CLE

0.712

0.288

10.1

2024

6

CLE

16 - 20

PHI

0.479

0.521

1.3

2024

5

CLE

13 - 34

WSH

0.558

0.442

4.1

2024

4

CLE

16 - 20

LV

0.593

0.407

2.1

2024

3

NYG

21 - 15

CLE

0.673

0.327

3.7

2024

2

CLE

18 - 13

JAX

0.54

0.46

10.4

2024

1

DAL

33 - 17

CLE

0.703

0.297

3.9

2023

18

CLE

14 - 31

CIN

0.52

0.48

0.0

2023

17

NYJ

20 - 37

CLE

0.509

0.491

17.1

2023

16

CLE

36 - 22

HOU

0.595

0.405

3.9

2023

15

CHI

17 - 20

CLE

0.714

0.286

3.7

2023

14

JAX

27 - 31

CLE

0.616

0.384

7.2

2023

13

CLE

19 - 36

LAR

0.657

0.343

12.3

2023

12

CLE

12 - 29

DEN

0.636

0.364

5.4

2023

11

PIT

10 - 13

CLE

0.597

0.403

12.0

2023

10

CLE

33 - 31

BAL

0.493

0.507

15.4

2023

9

ARI

0 - 27

CLE

0.429

0.571

3.4

2023

8

CLE

20 - 24

SEA

0.444

0.556

5.0

2023

7

CLE

39 - 38

IND

0.529

0.471

9.9

2023

6

SF

17 - 19

CLE

0.5

0.5

6.7

2023

4

BAL

28 - 3

CLE

0.59

0.41

2.0

2023

3

TEN

3 - 27

CLE

0.516

0.484

11.8

2023

2

CLE

22 - 26

PIT

0.533

0.467

7.1

2023

1

CIN

3 - 24

CLE

0.42

0.58

9.2

2022

18

NYJ

6 - 11

MIA

0.623

0.377

2.1

2022

17

NYJ

6 - 23

SEA

0.73

0.27

3.8

2022

16

JAX

19 - 3

NYJ

0.623

0.377

3.5

2022

15

DET

20 - 17

NYJ

0.614

0.386

9.4

2022

14

NYJ

12 - 20

BUF

0.681

0.319

12.0

2022

13

NYJ

22 - 27

MIN

0.707

0.293

3.7

2022

12

CHI

10 - 31

NYJ

0.475

0.525

14.0

2022

11

NYJ

3 - 10

NE

0.489

0.511

3.7

2022

9

BUF

17 - 20

NYJ

0.424

0.576

0.0

2022

8

NE

22 - 17

NYJ

0.732

0.268

0.0

2022

6

NYJ

27 - 10

GB

0.353

0.647

0.0

2022

5

MIA

17 - 40

NYJ

0.389

0.611

2.1

2022

4

NYJ

24 - 20

PIT

0.561

0.439

8.5

2022

3

CIN

27 - 12

NYJ

0.722

0.278

8.9

2022

2

NYJ

31 - 30

CLE

0.692

0.308

6.5

2022

1

BAL

24 - 9

NYJ

0.776

0.224

9.9

2021

13

PHI

33 - 18

NYJ

0.691

0.309

20.6

2021

12

NYJ

21 - 14

HOU

0.414

0.586

9.3

2021

11

MIA

24 - 17

NYJ

0.684

0.316

29.6

2021

10

BUF

45 - 17

NYJ

0.681

0.319

13.4

2021

9

NYJ

30 - 45

IND

0.712

0.288

27.4

2021

8

CIN

31 - 34

NYJ

0.645

0.355

13.1

2021

7

NYJ

13 - 54

NE

0.712

0.288

10.2

2021

5

NYJ

20 - 27

ATL

0.64

0.36

0.0

2021

3

NYJ

0 - 26

DEN

0.729

0.271

5.2

2021

2

NE

25 - 6

NYJ

0.516

0.484

8.7

2021

1

NYJ

14 - 19

CAR

0.685

0.315

0.7

make your own luck.
nfl-prophet.com © Joseph Poirier, 2024

undefined

Pos: WR1 Team: undefined YoE: undefined
Draft: RD undefined, PICK undefined
Injury Status: undefined Return Date: undefined



I. Player News & Analysis


ESPN

RotoWire

Trends


"Sutton is entering his eighth NFL season fresh off a career year in which he finished 17th or better among WRs in snaps, routes, targets, catches, TDs and fantasy points. Sutton ranked top 3 in both air yards and end zone targets and he's now finished in the top 10 in end zone targets three seasons in a row. Sutton has yet to finish a season in the top 25 in fantasy PPG, but he's emerged as the clear top target (25% target share last season) for a Broncos offense that is much improved with Bo Nix under center. Sutton, 29, is a solid WR3 option."


"Sutton waited until the final game of the regular season to post his worst receiving line to date in 2025. Denver's top receiving option fell victim to an odd game script that saw all of his team's points scored by either the defense or kicker Will Lutz. Sutton still finished with a solid fantasy campaign (74-1,017-7), reaching 1,000 receiving yards for the third time in his eighth season as a pro. DFS players should expect more involvement from Sutton when the stakes are raised in the Broncos' next matchup, which will take place in the divisional round of the playoffs."

Courtland Sutton's target share has increased by 65.64% over the past 8 weeks.

Courtland Sutton's targets have increased by 75.0% over the past 8 weeks.

Courtland Sutton's receiving yards have increased by 72.0% over the past 8 weeks.

Courtland Sutton's receptions have increased by 76.92% over the past 8 weeks.

Courtland Sutton's receiving touchdowns have increased by 200.0% over the past 10 weeks.


II. Historical Performance



FantasyPassingReceivingRushingMisc

Season

Week

Home

Score

Away

PASS%

RUSH%

FPTS

2025

18

DAL

17 - 34

NYG

0.444

0.556

1.5

2025

17

DAL

30 - 23

WSH

0.457

0.543

7.6

2025

16

LAC

34 - 17

DAL

0.582

0.418

4.9

2025

15

MIN

34 - 26

DAL

0.567

0.433

3.6

2025

14

DAL

30 - 44

DET

0.662

0.338

8.8

2025

13

KC

28 - 31

DAL

0.6

0.4

8.6

2025

12

PHI

21 - 24

DAL

0.537

0.463

11.1

2025

11

DAL

33 - 16

LV

0.516

0.484

11.6

2025

9

ARI

27 - 17

DAL

0.65

0.35

8.0

2025

8

DAL

24 - 44

DEN

0.53

0.47

0.0

2025

7

WSH

22 - 44

DAL

0.492

0.508

21.9

2025

6

DAL

27 - 30

CAR

0.642

0.358

12.3

2025

5

DAL

37 - 22

NYJ

0.5

0.5

23.9

2025

4

GB

40 - 40

DAL

0.606

0.394

17.0

2025

3

DAL

14 - 31

CHI

0.692

0.308

21.2

2025

2

NYG

37 - 40

DAL

0.65

0.35

16.8

2025

1

DAL

20 - 24

PHI

0.607

0.393

7.3

2024

18

WSH

23 - 19

DAL

0.466

0.534

3.2

2024

17

DAL

7 - 41

PHI

0.492

0.508

2.8

2024

16

TB

24 - 26

DAL

0.636

0.364

10.0

2024

15

DAL

30 - 14

CAR

0.42

0.58

4.3

2024

14

CIN

27 - 20

DAL

0.554

0.446

6.2

2024

11

HOU

34 - 10

DAL

0.757

0.243

2.1

2024

10

PHI

34 - 6

DAL

0.547

0.453

4.4

2024

9

DAL

21 - 27

ATL

0.704

0.296

14.1

2024

8

DAL

24 - 30

SF

0.667

0.333

8.3

2024

6

DET

47 - 9

DAL

0.721

0.279

4.1

2024

5

DAL

20 - 17

PIT

0.575

0.425

13.0

2024

4

DAL

20 - 15

NYG

0.54

0.46

11.9

2024

3

BAL

28 - 25

DAL

0.761

0.239

15.5

2024

1

DAL

33 - 17

CLE

0.561

0.439

4.5

2023

18

DAL

38 - 10

WSH

0.58

0.42

12.9

2023

17

DET

19 - 20

DAL

0.644

0.356

7.3

2023

16

DAL

20 - 22

MIA

0.561

0.439

8.5

2023

15

DAL

10 - 31

BUF

0.63

0.37

10.4

2023

14

PHI

13 - 33

DAL

0.549

0.451

12.2

2023

13

SEA

35 - 41

DAL

0.547

0.453

19.7

2023

12

WSH

10 - 45

DAL

0.64

0.36

4.5

2023

11

DAL

33 - 10

CAR

0.603

0.397

6.2

2023

10

NYG

17 - 49

DAL

0.571

0.429

12.6

2023

9

DAL

23 - 28

PHI

0.677

0.323

22.1

2023

8

LAR

20 - 43

DAL

0.567

0.433

14.7

2023

6

DAL

20 - 17

LAC

0.536

0.464

2.5

2023

5

DAL

10 - 42

SF

0.578

0.422

5.8

2023

4

NE

3 - 38

DAL

0.545

0.455

14.7

2023

3

DAL

16 - 28

ARI

0.548

0.452

9.8

2023

2

NYJ

10 - 30

DAL

0.463

0.537

10.1

2023

1

DAL

40 - 0

NYG

0.455

0.545

3.1

2022

18

DAL

6 - 26

WSH

0.585

0.415

1.4

2022

17

DAL

27 - 13

TEN

0.562

0.438

1.7

2022

16

PHI

34 - 40

DAL

0.53

0.47

3.4

2022

14

HOU

23 - 27

DAL

0.557

0.443

0.0

2022

13

IND

19 - 54

DAL

0.469

0.531

1.9

2022

12

NYG

20 - 28

DAL

0.435

0.565

8.7

2022

11

DAL

40 - 3

MIN

0.429

0.571

3.5

2022

10

DAL

28 - 31

GB

0.597

0.403

0.0

2022

8

CHI

29 - 49

DAL

0.482

0.518

7.1

2022

7

DET

6 - 24

DAL

0.439

0.561

1.7

2022

6

DAL

17 - 26

PHI

0.594

0.406

14.0

2022

5

DAL

22 - 10

LAR

0.32

0.68

0.0

2022

4

WSH

10 - 25

DAL

0.482

0.518

1.7

2022

3

DAL

23 - 16

NYG

0.508

0.492

3.3

2022

2

CIN

17 - 20

DAL

0.534

0.466

0.0

2022

1

TB

19 - 3

DAL

0.7

0.3

0.0

make your own luck.
nfl-prophet.com © Joseph Poirier, 2024

II. Historical Performance



FantasyPassingReceivingRushingMisc

Season

Week

Home

Score

Away

PASS%

RUSH%

FPTS

2025

18

LAC

3 - 19

DEN

0.426

0.574

1.5

2025

17

DEN

20 - 13

KC

0.543

0.457

8.0

2025

16

JAX

34 - 20

DEN

0.734

0.266

20.6

2025

15

GB

26 - 34

DEN

0.523

0.477

24.3

2025

14

DEN

24 - 17

LV

0.551

0.449

12.2

2025

13

DEN

27 - 26

WSH

0.662

0.338

17.2

2025

11

KC

19 - 22

DEN

0.644

0.356

9.9

2025

10

LV

7 - 10

DEN

0.509

0.491

5.2

2025

9

DEN

18 - 15

HOU

0.617

0.383

10.0

2025

8

DAL

24 - 44

DEN

0.509

0.491

10.7

2025

7

NYG

32 - 33

DEN

0.676

0.324

14.7

2025

6

DEN

13 - 11

NYJ

0.536

0.464

2.7

2025

5

DEN

21 - 17

PHI

0.574

0.426

17.9

2025

4

CIN

3 - 28

DEN

0.525

0.475

19.1

2025

3

DEN

20 - 23

LAC

0.543

0.457

23.8

2025

2

DEN

28 - 29

IND

0.556

0.444

1.6

2025

1

TEN

12 - 20

DEN

0.571

0.429

18.1

2024

18

KC

0 - 38

DEN

0.403

0.597

20.8

2024

17

DEN

24 - 30

CIN

0.534

0.466

16.5

2024

16

DEN

27 - 34

LAC

0.656

0.344

10.0

2024

15

IND

13 - 31

DEN

0.55

0.45

12.2

2024

13

CLE

32 - 41

DEN

0.574

0.426

16.2

2024

12

DEN

29 - 19

LV

0.656

0.344

29.7

2024

11

ATL

6 - 38

DEN

0.559

0.441

14.8

2024

10

DEN

14 - 16

KC

0.566

0.434

19.0

2024

9

DEN

10 - 41

BAL

0.531

0.469

23.28

2024

8

CAR

14 - 28

DEN

0.549

0.451

17.12

2024

7

DEN

33 - 10

NO

0.426

0.574

0.0

2024

6

LAC

23 - 16

DEN

0.647

0.353

15.3

2024

5

LV

18 - 34

DEN

0.491

0.509

5.2

2024

4

DEN

10 - 9

NYJ

0.446

0.554

15.0

2024

3

DEN

26 - 7

TB

0.562

0.438

13.8

2024

2

PIT

13 - 6

DEN

0.648

0.352

3.6

2024

1

DEN

20 - 26

SEA

0.627

0.373

7.8

2023

18

DEN

14 - 27

LV

0.63

0.37

1.2

2023

16

NE

26 - 23

DEN

0.617

0.383

0.0

2023

15

DEN

17 - 42

DET

0.533

0.467

12.1

2023

14

DEN

24 - 7

LAC

0.516

0.484

15.2

2023

13

DEN

17 - 22

HOU

0.464

0.536

15.7

2023

12

CLE

12 - 29

DEN

0.361

0.639

9.1

2023

11

MIN

20 - 21

DEN

0.7

0.3

16.6

2023

10

DEN

24 - 22

BUF

0.433

0.567

17.3

2023

8

KC

9 - 24

DEN

0.322

0.678

10.9

2023

7

GB

17 - 19

DEN

0.537

0.463

19.6

2023

6

DEN

8 - 19

KC

0.489

0.511

14.6

2023

5

NYJ

31 - 21

DEN

0.585

0.415

2.3

2023

4

DEN

31 - 28

CHI

0.596

0.404

11.7

2023

3

DEN

20 - 70

MIA

0.655

0.345

19.1

2023

2

WSH

35 - 33

DEN

0.582

0.418

11.6

2023

1

LV

17 - 16

DEN

0.607

0.393

13.2

2022

18

LAC

28 - 31

DEN

0.4

0.6

12.3

2022

17

DEN

24 - 27

KC

0.613

0.387

8.4

2022

16

DEN

14 - 51

LAR

0.636

0.364

11.4

2022

13

DEN

9 - 10

BAL

0.44

0.56

0.0

2022

12

DEN

10 - 23

CAR

0.648

0.352

13.5

2022

11

LV

22 - 16

DEN

0.525

0.475

13.0

2022

10

DEN

10 - 17

TEN

0.627

0.373

12.6

2022

8

DEN

21 - 17

JAX

0.517

0.483

2.3

2022

7

NYJ

16 - 9

DEN

0.622

0.378

5.3

2022

6

DEN

16 - 19

LAC

0.549

0.451

3.4

2022

5

IND

12 - 9

DEN

0.582

0.418

12.4

2022

4

DEN

23 - 32

LV

0.556

0.444

16.2

2022

3

SF

10 - 11

DEN

0.5

0.5

17.7

2022

2

HOU

9 - 16

DEN

0.5

0.5

19.7

2022

1

DEN

16 - 17

SEA

0.677

0.323

11.2

2021

18

KC

28 - 24

DEN

0.472

0.528

2.94

2021

17

DEN

13 - 34

LAC

0.509

0.491

9.0

2021

16

DEN

13 - 17

LV

0.579

0.421

7.3

2021

15

CIN

15 - 10

DEN

0.5

0.5

3.2

2021

14

DET

10 - 38

DEN

0.391

0.609

1.9

2021

13

DEN

9 - 22

KC

0.563

0.437

3.5

2021

12

LAC

13 - 28

DEN

0.431

0.569

3.7

2021

10

PHI

30 - 13

DEN

0.667

0.333

4.9

2021

9

DEN

30 - 16

DAL

0.406

0.594

1.9

2021

8

WSH

10 - 17

DEN

0.553

0.447

6.0

2021

7

DEN

14 - 17

CLE

0.702

0.298

11.8

2021

6

LV

34 - 24

DEN

0.681

0.319

23.4

2021

5

DEN

19 - 27

PIT

0.679

0.321

25.0

2021

4

BAL

23 - 7

DEN

0.685

0.315

7.7

2021

3

NYJ

0 - 26

DEN

0.403

0.597

8.7

2021

2

DEN

23 - 13

JAX

0.531

0.469

24.9

2021

1

DEN

27 - 13

NYG

0.562

0.438

2.4

make your own luck.
nfl-prophet.com © Joseph Poirier, 2024