NFL Prophet
NFL Prophet About >> Weekly Predictions >> Playoff Odds >> Fantasy Projections >> Previous Matchups

Patrick Mahomes

Pos: QB2 Team: KC YoE: 9
Draft: RD 1, PICK 10
Injury Status: H



I. Player News & Analysis


ESPN

RotoWire

Trends


"Mahomes enters his age-29 season no longer an elite fantasy option, but rather a solid mid-to-back-end starter. After five straight seasons as a top-6 fantasy QB (PPG), he's finished 13th and 11th the past two seasons. Mahomes has evolved into a quarterback who still attempts a ton of passes (exactly third in pass attempts four years in a row), but is more conservative (career-low 6.4 aDOT and 6.8 YPA in 2024) and doesn't throw as many TDs as in years past (26 last season was his fewest since 2019). Perhaps he'll rebound a bit in that area with the Xavier Worthy/Rashee Rice/Hollywood Brown trio together, but in the meantime Mahomes adds just enough with his legs (between 300 and 400 yards five seasons in a row) to keep him in the fantasy starter conversation."


"Head athletic trainer Rick Burkholder told reporters Wednesday that Mahomes' operation with Dr. Dan Cooper was successful, per Jesse Newell of The Athletic. The recovery process for injuries similar to Mahomes' typically takes around nine months. The 2026 regular season is expected to kick off Sept. 10, so Mahomes has a realistic chance of being back early in the season, and possibly as soon as Week 1, if all goes to plan with his recovery. Gardner Minshew is Kansas City's starting quarterback for the remainder of the 2025 season following Mahomes' injury in Week 15."

Patrick Mahomes' rushing yards have decreased by 57.78% over the past 6 weeks.

Patrick Mahomes' passing touchdowns have decreased by 75.0+% over the past 6 weeks.

Patrick Mahomes' interceptions have increased by 300.0% over the past 8 weeks.

Patrick Mahomes' total touchdowns have decreased by 75.0+% over the past 6 weeks.

Patrick Mahomes' total points have decreased by 75.0+% over the past 6 weeks.


II. Historical Performance



Season

Week

Home

Score

Away

TGT

REC

YD

TD

FUM

YPA

TGT SHARE

2025

15

LAC

16 - 13

KC

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0

0.0

2025

14

HOU

20 - 10

KC

1.0

1.0

-10.0

0.0

0.0

-10.0

0.03

2025

13

KC

28 - 31

DAL

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0

0.0

2025

12

IND

20 - 23

KC

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0

0.0

2025

11

KC

19 - 22

DEN

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0

0.0

2025

9

KC

21 - 28

BUF

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0

0.0

2025

8

WSH

7 - 28

KC

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0

0.0

2025

7

LV

0 - 31

KC

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0

0.0

2025

6

DET

17 - 30

KC

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0

0.0

2025

5

KC

28 - 31

JAX

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0

0.0

2025

4

BAL

20 - 37

KC

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0

0.0

2025

3

KC

22 - 9

NYG

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0

0.0

2025

2

PHI

20 - 17

KC

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2025

1

KC

21 - 27

LAC

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2024

17

KC

29 - 10

PIT

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2024

16

HOU

19 - 27

KC

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2024

15

KC

21 - 7

CLE

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2024

14

LAC

17 - 19

KC

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2024

13

LV

17 - 19

KC

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2024

12

KC

30 - 27

CAR

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2024

11

KC

21 - 30

BUF

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2024

10

DEN

14 - 16

KC

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2024

9

TB

24 - 30

KC

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2024

8

KC

27 - 20

LV

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2024

7

KC

28 - 18

SF

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2024

5

NO

13 - 26

KC

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2024

4

KC

17 - 10

LAC

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2024

3

KC

22 - 17

ATL

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2024

2

CIN

25 - 26

KC

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2024

1

BAL

20 - 27

KC

1.0

1.0

2.0

0.0

0.0

2.0

0.036

2023

17

CIN

17 - 25

KC

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

1.0

0.0

0.0

2023

16

LV

20 - 14

KC

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2023

15

KC

27 - 17

NE

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2023

14

BUF

20 - 17

KC

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2023

13

KC

19 - 27

GB

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2023

12

KC

31 - 17

LV

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2023

11

PHI

21 - 17

KC

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2023

9

MIA

14 - 21

KC

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

1.0

0.0

0.0

2023

8

KC

9 - 24

DEN

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

1.0

0.0

0.0

2023

7

LAC

17 - 31

KC

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2023

6

DEN

8 - 19

KC

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2023

5

KC

27 - 20

MIN

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2023

4

KC

23 - 20

NYJ

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2023

3

CHI

10 - 41

KC

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2023

2

KC

17 - 9

JAX

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2023

1

DET

21 - 20

KC

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2022

18

KC

31 - 13

LV

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2022

17

DEN

24 - 27

KC

1.0

1.0

6.0

0.0

0.0

6.0

0.024

2022

16

SEA

10 - 24

KC

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2022

15

KC

30 - 24

HOU

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2022

14

KC

34 - 28

DEN

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2022

13

KC

24 - 27

CIN

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2022

12

LAR

10 - 26

KC

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2022

11

KC

30 - 27

LAC

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2022

10

JAX

17 - 27

KC

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2022

9

TEN

17 - 20

KC

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2022

7

KC

44 - 23

SF

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2022

6

BUF

24 - 20

KC

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2022

5

LV

29 - 30

KC

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2022

4

KC

41 - 31

TB

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2022

3

KC

17 - 20

IND

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2022

2

LAC

24 - 27

KC

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2022

1

KC

44 - 21

ARI

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2021

18

KC

28 - 24

DEN

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2021

17

KC

31 - 34

CIN

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2021

16

PIT

10 - 36

KC

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2021

15

KC

34 - 28

LAC

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

1.0

0.0

0.0

2021

14

LV

9 - 48

KC

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2021

13

DEN

9 - 22

KC

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2021

11

DAL

9 - 19

KC

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

1.0

0.0

0.0

2021

10

KC

41 - 14

LV

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2021

9

GB

7 - 13

KC

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2021

8

NYG

17 - 20

KC

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2021

7

KC

3 - 27

TEN

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

1.0

0.0

0.0

2021

6

KC

31 - 13

WSH

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2021

5

BUF

38 - 20

KC

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

1.0

0.0

0.0

2021

4

KC

42 - 30

PHI

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2021

3

LAC

30 - 24

KC

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2021

2

KC

35 - 36

BAL

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2021

1

CLE

29 - 33

KC

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0