NFL Prophet
NFL Prophet About >> Weekly Predictions >> Playoff Odds >> Fantasy Projections >> Previous Matchups

Justin Jefferson

Pos: WR1 Team: MIN YoE: 6
Draft: RD 1, PICK 22
Injury Status: H



I. Player News & Analysis


ESPN

RotoWire

Trends


"Likely is back for his fourth NFL season after quite the head-scratcher of a season in 2024. He came out with a bang with 12 targets and a TE-high 26.1 fantasy points in Week 1, but failed to come close to either number the rest of the season. He did find the end zone six times in 16 games, but a lack of volume allowed him only 6.5 fantasy PPG after the season opener. Playing behind (or alongside) Mark Andrews the past three years, Likely has yet to finish a season among the top 20 tight ends in snaps, routes, targets, catches or yardage. His 20th-place finish in fantasy PPG last season was a career best. Perhaps Likely's best days are ahead of him, but consistent fantasy value is a long shot as long as Andrews is on the roster. The 25-year-old does not need to be drafted."


"After being blanked for zero catches in back-to-back games in Weeks 15 and 16 against the Bengals and Patriots, Likely was back involved in the offense. However, he's topped 30 receiving yards in a game just twice all season and has scored just one touchdown. Likely will be a touchdown-or-bust bet against the Steelers in next Sunday's pivotal Week 18 matchup for the AFC North title."

Isaiah Likely's target share has decreased by 69.33% over the past 6 weeks.

Isaiah Likely's targets have decreased by 75.0+% over the past 6 weeks.

Isaiah Likely's receiving yards have decreased by 75.0+% over the past 6 weeks.

Isaiah Likely's receptions have decreased by 70.0% over the past 6 weeks.

Isaiah Likely's total yards have decreased by 75.0+% over the past 6 weeks.

Justin Jefferson

Pos: WR1 Team: MIN YoE: 6
Draft: RD 1, PICK 22
Injury Status: H



I. Player News & Analysis


ESPN

RotoWire

Trends


"Sinnott is eyeing a leap forward in his second NFL season after he played a limited role as a rookie. The 2024 second-round pick appeared in all 17 of Washington's regular season games, but with Zach Ertz dominating the tight end targets and John Bates also involved, Sinnott was limited to five targets on 293 snaps. The team likely still views Sinnott as its tight end of the future, but he's not the tight end of the present, as Ertz was signed to an extension during the offseason and Bates is also back. Perhaps the 22-year-old can overtake Ertz at some point this season, but that's not enough incentive to roster him anywhere except in dynasty leagues."


"The 2024 second-round pick finishes his second NFL season with a 11-114-1 line on 13 targets. Sinnott played more than 50 percent of offensive snaps in each of the final four games, catching seven of nine targets for 73 yards during that stretch. The Commanders likely are in need of a new starting tight end with Zach Ertz recovering from an ACL tear and scheduled for free agency, but Sinnott hasn't shown much of anything to suggest he can be that player. There's still late-breakout argument, depending on Washington's offseason moves in the coming months."

Ben Sinnott's target share has increased by 260.92% over the past 6 weeks.

Ben Sinnott's receiving yards have increased by 300+% over the past 6 weeks.

Ben Sinnott's targets have increased by 250.0% over the past 6 weeks.

Ben Sinnott's receptions have increased by 300+% over the past 12 weeks.

Ben Sinnott's total yards have increased by 300+% over the past 6 weeks.

Justin Jefferson

Pos: WR1 Team: MIN YoE: 6
Draft: RD 1, PICK 22
Injury Status: H



I. Player News & Analysis


ESPN

RotoWire

Trends


"..."


"Kallerup has draw just one target through seven games. The undrafted rookie out of Minnesota continues to handle a muted role as the Seahawks' No. 3 tight end behind AJ Barner and Eric Saubert."

Nick Kallerup's target share has decreased by 0.0% over the past 8 weeks.

Nick Kallerup's targets have decreased by 0.0% over the past 8 weeks.

Nick Kallerup's extra points made has increased by 0% over the past 8 weeks.

Nick Kallerup's total yards have increased by 0% over the past 8 weeks.

Nick Kallerup's total touchdowns have increased by 0% over the past 8 weeks.

Justin Jefferson

Pos: WR1 Team: MIN YoE: 6
Draft: RD 1, PICK 22
Injury Status: H



I. Player News & Analysis


ESPN

RotoWire

Trends


"Robinson was traded to the 49ers in August after leading Washington in carries during each of his first three NFL campaigns. While working in a committee with Austin Ekeler last season (eight full games, including the playoffs), Robinson handled 12.8 carries and 1.9 targets per game while playing 51% of the snaps. In those eight games, Robinson dominated goal-line work (four TDs and eight carries inside the 5), but wasn't a great fantasy option (11.1 PPG). The 26-year-old has missed two-plus games in all three pro seasons and has yet to finish better than 24th among backs in snaps, touches or yards. He's now positioned as a clear backup to Christian McCaffrey and is likely to see only a few touches each game. Robinson has some insurance appeal, but even if McCaffrey were to miss time, he'd likely share the backfield with Isaac Guerendo and would thus max out as a flex."


"Robinson was only on the field for six offensive snaps (his lowest total since Week 8) with his club playing catch-up all evening. The veteran backup typically garners extra touches in contests San Francisco has a lead, but otherwise, it's been the Christian McCaffrey Show in 2025. Robinson appeared in all 17 regular-season contests in his first year with the 49ers, compiling 400 rushing yards and two touchdowns in a change-of-pace role. The 26-year-old will continue spelling CMC in the wild-card round of the playoffs."

Brian Robinson Jr.'s targets have decreased by 50.0% over the past 8 weeks.

Brian Robinson Jr.'s rushing yards have decreased by 43.67% over the past 8 weeks.

Brian Robinson Jr.'s rushing yards per attempt has decreased by 38.27% over the past 8 weeks.

Brian Robinson Jr.'s rushing attempt share has decreased by 30.83% over the past 6 weeks.

Brian Robinson Jr.'s rushing attempts have increased by 88.46% over the past 14 weeks.

Justin Jefferson

Pos: WR1 Team: MIN YoE: 6
Draft: RD 1, PICK 22
Injury Status: H



I. Player News & Analysis


ESPN

RotoWire

Trends


"Jefferson enters his sixth NFL season as one of the best in the league at his position. The 26-year-old has produced a league-high 7,432 receiving yards since his arrival in 2020, having put up at least 100 catches, 1,500 yards and eight TDs in his last three full seasons. Jefferson has finished four straight seasons as a top-5 fantasy receiver on a per-game basis and showed he was QB-proof in 2024, finishing top 5 in catches, yards and TDs with Sam Darnold under center. Darnold is gone, but 2024 first-round pick J.J. McCarthy could conceivably be an upgrade in Kevin O'Connell's pass-first scheme. Jefferson should be one of the first players off the board on draft day."


"Jefferson endured a tough season due to the Vikings' issues at quarterback, but with his first 100-yard performance since Week 5, the superstar wideout was able to record his sixth straight 1,000-yard campaign to begin his career. Jefferson wraps up the season with an 84-1,048-2 line on 141 targets, the worst yardage and touchdown totals of his career. One of Minnesota's biggest priorities this offseason will be finding a way to build chemistry between J.J. McCarthy (hand) and his most talented target."

Justin Jefferson's receiving yards have increased by 117.46% over the past 6 weeks.

Justin Jefferson's target share has increased by 43.91% over the past 6 weeks.

Justin Jefferson's targets have decreased by 40.32% over the past 12 weeks.

Justin Jefferson's receptions have increased by 50.0% over the past 6 weeks.

Justin Jefferson's receiving touchdowns have decreased by 75.0+% over the past 20 weeks.


II. Historical Performance



Season

Week

Home

Score

Away

TGT

REC

YD

TD

FUM

YPA

TGT SHARE

2025

18

BAL

24 - 26

PIT

2.0

2.0

32.0

0.0

0.0

16.0

0.111

2025

17

BAL

41 - 24

GB

3.0

3.0

27.0

0.0

0.0

9.0

0.15

2025

16

NE

28 - 24

BAL

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0

0.0

2025

15

BAL

24 - 0

CIN

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0

0.0

2025

14

PIT

27 - 22

BAL

6.0

4.0

25.0

1.0

0.0

4.17

0.171

2025

13

CIN

32 - 14

BAL

6.0

5.0

95.0

0.0

1.0

15.83

0.188

2025

12

NYJ

10 - 23

BAL

3.0

1.0

10.0

0.0

0.0

3.33

0.13

2025

11

BAL

23 - 16

CLE

3.0

2.0

15.0

0.0

0.0

5.0

0.12

2025

10

BAL

27 - 19

MIN

5.0

2.0

17.0

0.0

0.0

3.4

0.172

2025

9

BAL

28 - 6

MIA

4.0

3.0

60.0

0.0

0.0

15.0

0.174

2025

8

CHI

16 - 30

BAL

2.0

2.0

8.0

0.0

0.0

4.0

0.091

2025

6

LAR

17 - 3

BAL

2.0

2.0

6.0

0.0

0.0

3.0

0.059

2025

5

HOU

44 - 10

BAL

1.0

1.0

12.0

0.0

0.0

12.0

0.05

2025

4

BAL

20 - 37

KC

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0

0.0

2024

18

CLE

10 - 35

BAL

5.0

3.0

38.0

0.0

0.0

7.6

0.156

2024

17

BAL

31 - 2

HOU

1.0

1.0

9.0

1.0

0.0

9.0

0.059

2024

16

PIT

17 - 34

BAL

3.0

3.0

29.0

1.0

0.0

9.67

0.13

2024

15

BAL

35 - 14

NYG

2.0

2.0

17.0

0.0

0.0

8.5

0.08

2024

13

PHI

24 - 19

BAL

8.0

5.0

38.0

1.0

0.0

4.75

0.222

2024

12

BAL

30 - 23

LAC

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2024

11

BAL

16 - 18

PIT

5.0

4.0

75.0

0.0

1.0

15.0

0.152

2024

9

DEN

10 - 41

BAL

1.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.053

2024

8

BAL

24 - 29

CLE

4.0

4.0

47.0

0.0

0.0

11.75

0.105

2024

7

BAL

41 - 31

TB

4.0

2.0

17.0

0.0

0.0

4.25

0.182

2024

6

WSH

23 - 30

BAL

4.0

2.0

27.0

0.0

0.0

6.75

0.154

2024

5

BAL

41 - 38

CIN

3.0

3.0

13.0

2.0

0.0

4.33

0.071

2024

4

BUF

10 - 35

BAL

2.0

1.0

26.0

0.0

0.0

13.0

0.105

2024

3

BAL

28 - 25

DAL

1.0

1.0

4.0

0.0

0.0

4.0

0.067

2024

2

LV

26 - 23

BAL

3.0

2.0

26.0

0.0

0.0

8.67

0.088

2024

1

BAL

20 - 27

KC

12.0

9.0

111.0

1.0

0.0

9.25

0.293

2023

18

PIT

17 - 10

BAL

2.0

2.0

31.0

1.0

0.0

15.5

0.071

2023

17

MIA

19 - 56

BAL

3.0

2.0

42.0

2.0

0.0

14.0

0.136

2023

16

BAL

33 - 19

SF

4.0

3.0

56.0

0.0

0.0

14.0

0.114

2023

15

BAL

23 - 7

JAX

6.0

5.0

70.0

1.0

0.0

11.67

0.25

2023

14

LAR

31 - 37

BAL

7.0

5.0

83.0

1.0

0.0

11.86

0.163

2023

12

BAL

20 - 10

LAC

6.0

4.0

40.0

0.0

0.0

6.67

0.188

2023

11

CIN

20 - 34

BAL

2.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.077

2023

10

CLE

33 - 31

BAL

1.0

1.0

5.0

0.0

0.0

5.0

0.043

2023

9

SEA

3 - 37

BAL

4.0

4.0

42.0

0.0

0.0

10.5

0.121

2023

8

BAL

31 - 24

ARI

1.0

1.0

10.0

0.0

0.0

10.0

0.037

2023

7

DET

6 - 38

BAL

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2023

6

BAL

24 - 16

TEN

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2023

5

BAL

10 - 17

PIT

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2023

4

BAL

28 - 3

CLE

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2023

3

IND

22 - 19

BAL

2.0

1.0

20.0

0.0

0.0

10.0

0.065

2023

2

BAL

27 - 24

CIN

1.0

1.0

8.0

0.0

0.0

8.0

0.03

2023

1

HOU

9 - 25

BAL

1.0

1.0

4.0

0.0

0.0

4.0

0.045

2022

18

BAL

16 - 27

CIN

13.0

8.0

103.0

0.0

0.0

7.92

0.295

2022

17

PIT

16 - 13

BAL

5.0

3.0

12.0

1.0

0.0

2.4

0.238

2022

16

ATL

9 - 17

BAL

2.0

1.0

4.0

0.0

0.0

2.0

0.118

2022

15

BAL

3 - 13

CLE

3.0

2.0

18.0

0.0

0.0

6.0

0.1

2022

14

BAL

16 - 14

PIT

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2022

13

DEN

9 - 10

BAL

4.0

4.0

30.0

0.0

0.0

7.5

0.108

2022

11

CAR

3 - 13

BAL

3.0

1.0

1.0

0.0

0.0

0.33

0.091

2022

9

BAL

27 - 13

NO

5.0

1.0

24.0

1.0

0.0

4.8

0.227

2022

8

BAL

27 - 22

TB

7.0

6.0

77.0

1.0

0.0

11.0

0.184

2022

7

CLE

20 - 23

BAL

1.0

1.0

16.0

0.0

0.0

16.0

0.062

2022

6

BAL

20 - 24

NYG

4.0

2.0

30.0

0.0

0.0

7.5

0.125

2022

5

CIN

17 - 19

BAL

2.0

2.0

7.0

0.0

0.0

3.5

0.062

2022

4

BUF

23 - 20

BAL

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2022

3

BAL

37 - 26

NE

2.0

1.0

8.0

0.0

0.0

4.0

0.069

2022

2

MIA

42 - 38

BAL

5.0

4.0

43.0

0.0

0.0

8.6

0.172

2022

1

BAL

24 - 9

NYJ

4.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.133


II. Historical Performance



Season

Week

Home

Score

Away

TGT

REC

YD

TD

FUM

YPA

TGT SHARE

2025

18

WSH

24 - 17

PHI

2.0

2.0

3.0

0.0

0.0

1.5

0.091

2025

17

DAL

30 - 23

WSH

4.0

3.0

29.0

0.0

0.0

7.25

0.174

2025

16

PHI

29 - 18

WSH

2.0

1.0

5.0

0.0

0.0

2.5

0.087

2025

15

WSH

29 - 21

NYG

1.0

1.0

36.0

0.0

0.0

36.0

0.053

2025

14

WSH

0 - 31

MIN

1.0

1.0

8.0

0.0

0.0

8.0

0.042

2025

13

DEN

27 - 26

WSH

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0

0.0

2025

10

DET

44 - 22

WSH

1.0

1.0

4.0

1.0

0.0

4.0

0.045

2025

9

SEA

38 - 14

WSH

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0

0.0

2025

8

WSH

7 - 28

KC

1.0

1.0

22.0

0.0

0.0

22.0

0.033

2025

7

WSH

22 - 44

DAL

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0

0.0

2025

6

CHI

25 - 24

WSH

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0

0.0

2025

5

WSH

27 - 10

LAC

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0

0.0

2025

4

WSH

27 - 34

ATL

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0

0.0

2025

3

LV

24 - 41

WSH

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0

0.0

2025

2

WSH

18 - 27

GB

1.0

1.0

7.0

0.0

0.0

7.0

0.024

2025

1

NYG

6 - 21

WSH

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2024

18

WSH

23 - 19

DAL

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2024

17

ATL

24 - 30

WSH

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2024

16

PHI

33 - 36

WSH

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2024

15

WSH

20 - 19

NO

1.0

1.0

7.0

0.0

0.0

7.0

0.032

2024

13

TEN

19 - 42

WSH

1.0

1.0

3.0

0.0

0.0

3.0

0.033

2024

12

DAL

34 - 26

WSH

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2024

11

WSH

18 - 26

PHI

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2024

10

PIT

28 - 27

WSH

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2024

9

WSH

27 - 22

NYG

1.0

1.0

12.0

0.0

0.0

12.0

0.045

2024

8

CHI

15 - 18

WSH

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2024

7

CAR

7 - 40

WSH

2.0

2.0

6.0

1.0

0.0

3.0

0.08

2024

6

WSH

23 - 30

BAL

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2024

5

CLE

13 - 34

WSH

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2024

4

WSH

42 - 14

ARI

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2024

3

WSH

38 - 33

CIN

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2024

2

NYG

18 - 21

WSH

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2024

1

WSH

20 - 37

TB

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0


II. Historical Performance



Season

Week

Home

Score

Away

TGT

REC

YD

TD

FUM

YPA

TGT SHARE

2025

17

SEA

27 - 10

CAR

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0

0.0

2025

16

LAR

37 - 38

SEA

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0

0.0

2025

15

IND

16 - 18

SEA

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0

0.0

2025

14

SEA

37 - 9

ATL

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0

0.0

2025

13

MIN

0 - 26

SEA

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0

0.0

2025

12

SEA

30 - 24

TEN

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0

0.0

2025

11

SEA

19 - 21

LAR

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0

0.0

2025

10

ARI

22 - 44

SEA

1.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.083

2025

9

SEA

38 - 14

WSH

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0

0.0