NFL Prophet
NFL Prophet About >> Weekly Predictions >> Playoff Odds >> Fantasy Projections >> Previous Matchups

Ja'Marr Chase

Pos: WR1 Team: CIN YoE: 5
Draft: RD 1, PICK 5
Injury Status: H



I. Player News & Analysis


ESPN

RotoWire

Trends


"A third-round pick in 2023, Downs has emerged as a quality short-range/slot target, but that has yet to allow consistent fantasy output. The Colts' QB play has been an issue, as in seven full games with Anthony Richardson, Downs averaged 5.9 targets and 10.7 fantasy points per game, but in seven outings with Joe Flacco, he averaged 9.4 targets and 15.5 PPG. Downs, same as other Colts receivers, has struggled to produce with Richardson under center and it's no sure bet he'll be better if Daniel Jones wins the job. Downs is a good player, so he's worth late-round consideration, but the team's QB uncertainty will make him tough to plug into your lineup."


"The catches and targets were season highs for Downs, who led the Colts in receiving in Week 18, while the yardage total was his second-highest of 2024. The second-year wideout saw a modest increase on his rookie production, posting a 72-803-5 line on 107 targets over 14 games this year, and while he flashed his talent on a consistent basis, his ceiling was limited by the erratic quarterbacking of Anthony Richardson (back). Downs could have a true breakout in 2025, but it would likely require Richardson to take a big step forward as well."

Josh Downs' target share has increased by 26.43% over the past 6 weeks.

Josh Downs' receiving yards have increased by 23.78% over the past 6 weeks.

Josh Downs' receptions have increased by 45.45% over the past 6 weeks.

Josh Downs' receiving touchdowns have increased by 300.0% over the past 22 weeks.

Josh Downs' targets have decreased by 21.15% over the past 12 weeks.

Ja'Marr Chase

Pos: WR1 Team: CIN YoE: 5
Draft: RD 1, PICK 5
Injury Status: H



I. Player News & Analysis


ESPN

RotoWire

Trends


"The reigning No. 1 fantasy receiver, Chase outscored second-place Justin Jefferson by a massive 85.5 points. His career year included nine top-10 fantasy weeks (three more than any other receiver), as well as the most routes, targets, receptions, yards, touchdowns and end zone targets (17) in the league. He has finished in the top 12 in fantasy PPG in all four of his NFL seasons, including top 5 in three of them. Chase became the league's highest-paid non-quarterback during the offseason and is a heavily targeted 25-year-old superstar on the league's pass-heaviest offense with an elite QB in Joe Burrow. He should be the first WR off the board and is a strong option with the No. 1 overall pick."


"Chase officially has gotten his massive deal, which makes him the highest paid non-quarterback in NFL history. In total, he's now under contract for the next five years, in line to earn $182.816 million, per Schultz. The wide receiver has been nothing short of elite during his four-year career with the Bengals, most recently winning the NFL's "triple crown" in 2024, catching 127 of 175 targets for 1,708 yards and 17 touchdowns over 17 regular-season games. Additionally, teammate Tee Higgins and Cincinnati agreed on a four-year, $115 million deal Sunday, keeping both of Joe Burrow's top pass catchers under contract for the foreseeable future."

Ja'Marr Chase's receiving touchdowns have decreased by 75.0% over the past 8 weeks.

Ja'Marr Chase's receiving yards have decreased by 35.38% over the past 8 weeks.

Ja'Marr Chase's targets have increased by 95.38% over the past 20 weeks.

Ja'Marr Chase's target share has increased by 47.63% over the past 20 weeks.

Ja'Marr Chase's total touchdowns have decreased by 75.0% over the past 8 weeks.


II. Historical Performance



Season

Week

Home

Score

Away

ATT

YD

TD

FUM

YPA

RUSH SHARE

2024

18

JAX

23 - 26

IND

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2024

17

IND

33 - 45

NYG

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2024

16

TEN

30 - 38

IND

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2024

15

IND

13 - 31

DEN

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2024

12

DET

24 - 6

IND

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2024

11

IND

28 - 27

NYJ

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2024

10

BUF

30 - 20

IND

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2024

9

IND

13 - 21

MIN

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2024

8

IND

20 - 23

HOU

0.0

13.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2024

7

MIA

10 - 16

IND

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2024

6

IND

20 - 17

TEN

1.0

-1.0

0.0

0.0

-1.0

0.036

2024

5

IND

34 - 37

JAX

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2024

4

PIT

24 - 27

IND

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2024

3

CHI

16 - 21

IND

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2023

18

HOU

23 - 19

IND

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2023

17

LV

20 - 23

IND

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2023

16

IND

10 - 29

ATL

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2023

15

PIT

13 - 30

IND

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2023

14

IND

14 - 34

CIN

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2023

13

IND

31 - 28

TEN

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2023

12

TB

20 - 27

IND

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2023

10

IND

10 - 6

NE

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2023

9

IND

27 - 13

CAR

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2023

8

NO

38 - 27

IND

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2023

7

CLE

39 - 38

IND

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2023

6

IND

20 - 37

JAX

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2023

5

TEN

16 - 23

IND

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2023

4

LAR

29 - 23

IND

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2023

3

IND

22 - 19

BAL

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2023

2

IND

31 - 20

HOU

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2023

1

JAX

31 - 21

IND

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0