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Tua Tagovailoa

Pos: QB1 Team: MIA YoE: 5
Draft: RD 1, PICK 5
Injury Status: Q Return Date:



I. Player News & Analysis


ESPN

RotoWire

Trends


"Tagovailoa returns as the starter in Miami. With the Dolphins seeing two-high safeties on a league-high 56% of pass plays, he went super-conservative, posting a league-low 5.7 aDOT and completing a league-best 73% of his passes. He had a midseason stretch of four straight top-10 fantasy outings, but otherwise had one weekly finish better than 17th (eighth in Week 1). During the 11 weeks he was active, Tagovailoa averaged 16.5 fantasy PPG (14th best). He remains a nonfactor with his legs (below 75 yards three straight seasons, with zero rush TDs during the span), which is why he's never finished a season better than 10th in fantasy PPG. A good supporting cast led by Tyreek Hill, Jaylen Waddle, De'Von Achane and Jonnu Smith keeps Tagovailoa in the weekly streaming mix, but he has a low ceiling due to the limited rushing output."


"Tagovailoa looked sharp throwing Tuesday despite rainy field conditions, per Chris Perkins of the South Florida Sun Sentinel, and he's displayed no lingering issues related to the hip injury that forced him to sit out the final two regular-season games of 2024. Now heading into Year 4 in McDaniel's offense, and with top wideouts Tyreek Hill (wrist) and Jaylen Waddle returning, the stage is set for Tagovailoa to hit the ground running in 2025, with excuses running out if this team again underperforms compared to expectation. In response to the concussion and hip injuries that partially derailed Tagovailoa in 2024, McDaniel deployed a new offensive philosophy prioritizing short-area targets to De'Von Achane and Jonnu Smith at the expense of Hill and Waddle. One of the largest offseason questions for 2025 fantasy projections remains whether the Dolphins reprise a similar approach, which would help keep Tagovailoa from taking hits behind an already-poor offensive line that lost Terron Armstead to retirement, or return to the aggressive stance that saw the southpaw turn in a league-leading 4,624 passing yards while playing all 17 regular-season games in 2023. Recent trade rumors surrounding Smith, who desires a new contract after breaking out in 2024, suggest a willingness to de-prioritize targets to the tight end position and return to funneling things through Hill and Waddle."

Tua Tagovailoa's rushing yards per attempt has increased by 300+% over the past 8 weeks.

Tua Tagovailoa's rushing yards have decreased by 75.0+% over the past 10 weeks.

Tua Tagovailoa's passing yards per attempt has decreased by 21.62% over the past 6 weeks.

Tua Tagovailoa's passing yards have decreased by 21.53% over the past 6 weeks.

Tua Tagovailoa's passing touchdowns have decreased by 55.56% over the past 6 weeks.

Tua Tagovailoa

Pos: QB1 Team: MIA YoE: 5
Draft: RD 1, PICK 5
Injury Status: Q Return Date:



I. Player News & Analysis


ESPN

RotoWire

Trends


"Tagovailoa returns as the starter in Miami. With the Dolphins seeing two-high safeties on a league-high 56% of pass plays, he went super-conservative, posting a league-low 5.7 aDOT and completing a league-best 73% of his passes. He had a midseason stretch of four straight top-10 fantasy outings, but otherwise had one weekly finish better than 17th (eighth in Week 1). During the 11 weeks he was active, Tagovailoa averaged 16.5 fantasy PPG (14th best). He remains a nonfactor with his legs (below 75 yards three straight seasons, with zero rush TDs during the span), which is why he's never finished a season better than 10th in fantasy PPG. A good supporting cast led by Tyreek Hill, Jaylen Waddle, De'Von Achane and Jonnu Smith keeps Tagovailoa in the weekly streaming mix, but he has a low ceiling due to the limited rushing output."


"Tagovailoa looked sharp throwing Tuesday despite rainy field conditions, per Chris Perkins of the South Florida Sun Sentinel, and he's displayed no lingering issues related to the hip injury that forced him to sit out the final two regular-season games of 2024. Now heading into Year 4 in McDaniel's offense, and with top wideouts Tyreek Hill (wrist) and Jaylen Waddle returning, the stage is set for Tagovailoa to hit the ground running in 2025, with excuses running out if this team again underperforms compared to expectation. In response to the concussion and hip injuries that partially derailed Tagovailoa in 2024, McDaniel deployed a new offensive philosophy prioritizing short-area targets to De'Von Achane and Jonnu Smith at the expense of Hill and Waddle. One of the largest offseason questions for 2025 fantasy projections remains whether the Dolphins reprise a similar approach, which would help keep Tagovailoa from taking hits behind an already-poor offensive line that lost Terron Armstead to retirement, or return to the aggressive stance that saw the southpaw turn in a league-leading 4,624 passing yards while playing all 17 regular-season games in 2023. Recent trade rumors surrounding Smith, who desires a new contract after breaking out in 2024, suggest a willingness to de-prioritize targets to the tight end position and return to funneling things through Hill and Waddle."

Tua Tagovailoa's rushing yards per attempt has increased by 300+% over the past 8 weeks.

Tua Tagovailoa's rushing yards have decreased by 75.0+% over the past 10 weeks.

Tua Tagovailoa's passing yards per attempt has decreased by 21.62% over the past 6 weeks.

Tua Tagovailoa's passing yards have decreased by 21.53% over the past 6 weeks.

Tua Tagovailoa's passing touchdowns have decreased by 55.56% over the past 6 weeks.


II. Historical Performance



Season

Week

Home

Score

Away

PASS%

RUSH%

FPTS

2024

16

SF

17 - 29

MIA

0.531

0.469

12.5

2024

15

MIA

12 - 20

HOU

0.678

0.322

2.88

2024

14

NYJ

26 - 32

MIA

0.712

0.288

21.54

2024

13

MIA

17 - 30

GB

0.767

0.233

22.04

2024

12

NE

15 - 34

MIA

0.625

0.375

28.12

2024

11

LV

19 - 34

MIA

0.581

0.419

22.84

2024

10

MIA

23 - 15

LAR

0.56

0.44

8.74

2024

9

MIA

27 - 30

BUF

0.475

0.525

17.26

2024

8

ARI

28 - 27

MIA

0.603

0.397

14.38

2024

2

BUF

31 - 10

MIA

0.534

0.466

11.26

2024

1

JAX

17 - 20

MIA

0.597

0.403

17.86

2023

18

BUF

21 - 14

MIA

0.574

0.426

11.62

2023

17

MIA

19 - 56

BAL

0.603

0.397

18.24

2023

16

DAL

20 - 22

MIA

0.587

0.413

15.16

2023

15

NYJ

0 - 30

MIA

0.481

0.519

12.36

2023

14

TEN

28 - 27

MIA

0.516

0.484

7.82

2023

13

MIA

45 - 15

WSH

0.424

0.576

19.2

2023

12

MIA

34 - 13

NYJ

0.448

0.552

11.22

2023

11

LV

13 - 20

MIA

0.582

0.418

19.52

2023

9

MIA

14 - 21

KC

0.618

0.382

11.7

2023

8

NE

17 - 31

MIA

0.634

0.366

23.28

2023

7

MIA

17 - 31

PHI

0.727

0.273

11.94

2023

6

CAR

21 - 42

MIA

0.492

0.508

22.48

2023

5

NYG

16 - 31

MIA

0.566

0.434

20.68

2023

4

MIA

20 - 48

BUF

0.648

0.352

14.74

2023

3

DEN

20 - 70

MIA

0.394

0.606

28.36

2023

2

MIA

24 - 17

NE

0.5

0.5

14.06

2023

1

MIA

36 - 34

LAC

0.692

0.308

29.14

2022

16

GB

26 - 20

MIA

0.581

0.419

15.76

2022

15

MIA

29 - 32

BUF

0.545

0.455

17.38

2022

14

MIA

17 - 23

LAC

0.596

0.404

11.88

2022

13

MIA

17 - 33

SF

0.81

0.19

17.0

2022

12

HOU

15 - 30

MIA

0.612

0.388

14.92

2022

10

CLE

17 - 39

MIA

0.5

0.5

23.4

2022

9

MIA

35 - 32

CHI

0.566

0.434

24.08

2022

8

MIA

31 - 27

DET

0.581

0.419

28.66

2022

7

PIT

10 - 16

MIA

0.565

0.435

15.94

2022

4

MIA

15 - 27

CIN

0.627

0.373

4.0

2022

3

BUF

19 - 21

MIA

0.541

0.459

11.16

2022

2

MIA

42 - 38

BAL

0.735

0.265

42.54

2022

1

NE

7 - 20

MIA

0.589

0.411

13.68

2021

18

NE

24 - 33

MIA

0.338

0.662

11.92

2021

17

MIA

3 - 34

TEN

0.709

0.291

3.38

2021

16

MIA

20 - 3

NO

0.464

0.536

9.02

2021

15

NYJ

24 - 31

MIA

0.391

0.609

17.74

2021

13

NYG

9 - 20

MIA

0.621

0.379

17.26

2021

12

CAR

10 - 33

MIA

0.443

0.557

12.16

2021

11

MIA

24 - 17

NYJ

0.507

0.493

17.52

2021

10

BAL

10 - 22

MIA

0.621

0.379

12.08

2021

8

MIA

11 - 26

BUF

0.629

0.371

14.76

2021

7

ATL

30 - 28

MIA

0.58

0.42

26.14

2021

6

MIA

20 - 23

JAX

0.706

0.294

21.36

2021

2

BUF

35 - 0

MIA

0.688

0.312

0.0

2021

1

MIA

17 - 16

NE

0.54

0.46

15.5


II. Historical Performance



Season

Week

Home

Score

Away

PASS%

RUSH%

FPTS

2024

16

SF

17 - 29

MIA

0.531

0.469

12.5

2024

15

MIA

12 - 20

HOU

0.678

0.322

2.88

2024

14

NYJ

26 - 32

MIA

0.712

0.288

21.54

2024

13

MIA

17 - 30

GB

0.767

0.233

22.04

2024

12

NE

15 - 34

MIA

0.625

0.375

28.12

2024

11

LV

19 - 34

MIA

0.581

0.419

22.84

2024

10

MIA

23 - 15

LAR

0.56

0.44

8.74

2024

9

MIA

27 - 30

BUF

0.475

0.525

17.26

2024

8

ARI

28 - 27

MIA

0.603

0.397

14.38

2024

2

BUF

31 - 10

MIA

0.534

0.466

11.26

2024

1

JAX

17 - 20

MIA

0.597

0.403

17.86

2023

18

BUF

21 - 14

MIA

0.574

0.426

11.62

2023

17

MIA

19 - 56

BAL

0.603

0.397

18.24

2023

16

DAL

20 - 22

MIA

0.587

0.413

15.16

2023

15

NYJ

0 - 30

MIA

0.481

0.519

12.36

2023

14

TEN

28 - 27

MIA

0.516

0.484

7.82

2023

13

MIA

45 - 15

WSH

0.424

0.576

19.2

2023

12

MIA

34 - 13

NYJ

0.448

0.552

11.22

2023

11

LV

13 - 20

MIA

0.582

0.418

19.52

2023

9

MIA

14 - 21

KC

0.618

0.382

11.7

2023

8

NE

17 - 31

MIA

0.634

0.366

23.28

2023

7

MIA

17 - 31

PHI

0.727

0.273

11.94

2023

6

CAR

21 - 42

MIA

0.492

0.508

22.48

2023

5

NYG

16 - 31

MIA

0.566

0.434

20.68

2023

4

MIA

20 - 48

BUF

0.648

0.352

14.74

2023

3

DEN

20 - 70

MIA

0.394

0.606

28.36

2023

2

MIA

24 - 17

NE

0.5

0.5

14.06

2023

1

MIA

36 - 34

LAC

0.692

0.308

29.14

2022

16

GB

26 - 20

MIA

0.581

0.419

15.76

2022

15

MIA

29 - 32

BUF

0.545

0.455

17.38

2022

14

MIA

17 - 23

LAC

0.596

0.404

11.88

2022

13

MIA

17 - 33

SF

0.81

0.19

17.0

2022

12

HOU

15 - 30

MIA

0.612

0.388

14.92

2022

10

CLE

17 - 39

MIA

0.5

0.5

23.4

2022

9

MIA

35 - 32

CHI

0.566

0.434

24.08

2022

8

MIA

31 - 27

DET

0.581

0.419

28.66

2022

7

PIT

10 - 16

MIA

0.565

0.435

15.94

2022

4

MIA

15 - 27

CIN

0.627

0.373

4.0

2022

3

BUF

19 - 21

MIA

0.541

0.459

11.16

2022

2

MIA

42 - 38

BAL

0.735

0.265

42.54

2022

1

NE

7 - 20

MIA

0.589

0.411

13.68

2021

18

NE

24 - 33

MIA

0.338

0.662

11.92

2021

17

MIA

3 - 34

TEN

0.709

0.291

3.38

2021

16

MIA

20 - 3

NO

0.464

0.536

9.02

2021

15

NYJ

24 - 31

MIA

0.391

0.609

17.74

2021

13

NYG

9 - 20

MIA

0.621

0.379

17.26

2021

12

CAR

10 - 33

MIA

0.443

0.557

12.16

2021

11

MIA

24 - 17

NYJ

0.507

0.493

17.52

2021

10

BAL

10 - 22

MIA

0.621

0.379

12.08

2021

8

MIA

11 - 26

BUF

0.629

0.371

14.76

2021

7

ATL

30 - 28

MIA

0.58

0.42

26.14

2021

6

MIA

20 - 23

JAX

0.706

0.294

21.36

2021

2

BUF

35 - 0

MIA

0.688

0.312

0.0

2021

1

MIA

17 - 16

NE

0.54

0.46

15.5