NFL Prophet

NFL Prophet About >> Weekly Predictions >> Playoff Odds >> Fantasy Projections >> Previous Matchups

II. Historical Performance

Season

Week

Home

Score

Away

TGT

REC

YD

TD

FUM

YPA

TGT SHARE

2025

17

BAL

41 - 24

GB

1.0

1.0

7.0

0.0

0.0

7.0

0.05

2025

16

NE

28 - 24

BAL

2.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.1

2025

14

PIT

27 - 22

BAL

3.0

2.0

23.0

0.0

0.0

7.67

0.086

2025

13

CIN

32 - 14

BAL

1.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.031

2025

10

BAL

27 - 19

MIN

2.0

1.0

10.0

0.0

0.0

5.0

0.069

2025

9

BAL

28 - 6

MIA

4.0

2.0

13.0

1.0

0.0

3.25

0.174

2025

8

CHI

16 - 30

BAL

4.0

2.0

51.0

0.0

0.0

12.75

0.182

2025

6

LAR

17 - 3

BAL

2.0

1.0

8.0

0.0

0.0

4.0

0.059

2025

5

HOU

44 - 10

BAL

3.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.15

2025

4

BAL

20 - 37

KC

2.0

1.0

24.0

0.0

0.0

12.0

0.061

2025

3

DET

38 - 30

BAL

7.0

5.0

63.0

1.0

0.0

9.0

0.25

2025

2

CLE

17 - 41

BAL

4.0

2.0

15.0

0.0

0.0

3.75

0.138

2025

1

BAL

40 - 41

BUF

4.0

2.0

10.0

0.0

0.0

2.5

0.211

2024

18

CLE

10 - 35

BAL

8.0

5.0

76.0

1.0

0.0

9.5

0.25

2024

17

BAL

31 - 2

HOU

1.0

1.0

12.0

0.0

0.0

12.0

0.059

2024

16

PIT

17 - 34

BAL

3.0

1.0

14.0

1.0

0.0

4.67

0.13

2024

15

BAL

35 - 14

NYG

5.0

3.0

80.0

2.0

0.0

16.0

0.2

2024

13

PHI

24 - 19

BAL

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2024

12

BAL

30 - 23

LAC

3.0

2.0

43.0

1.0

0.0

14.33

0.136

2024

11

BAL

16 - 18

PIT

5.0

2.0

30.0

0.0

0.0

6.0

0.152

2024

10

CIN

34 - 35

BAL

8.0

6.0

54.0

1.0

0.0

6.75

0.242

2024

9

DEN

10 - 41

BAL

4.0

3.0

25.0

0.0

0.0

6.25

0.211

2024

8

BAL

24 - 29

CLE

5.0

1.0

28.0

0.0

0.0

5.6

0.132

2024

7

BAL

41 - 31

TB

4.0

4.0

121.0

1.0

0.0

30.25

0.182

2024

6

WSH

23 - 30

BAL

4.0

4.0

71.0

0.0

0.0

17.75

0.154

2024

5

BAL

41 - 38

CIN

8.0

4.0

58.0

1.0

0.0

7.25

0.19

2024

4

BUF

10 - 35

BAL

1.0

1.0

23.0

0.0

0.0

23.0

0.053

2024

3

BAL

28 - 25

DAL

4.0

3.0

28.0

1.0

0.0

7.0

0.267

2024

2

LV

26 - 23

BAL

4.0

3.0

40.0

0.0

0.0

10.0

0.118

2024

1

BAL

20 - 27

KC

5.0

2.0

53.0

0.0

0.0

10.6

0.122

2023

18

PIT

17 - 10

BAL

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2023

17

MIA

19 - 56

BAL

6.0

4.0

54.0

0.0

0.0

9.0

0.273

2023

16

BAL

33 - 19

SF

4.0

1.0

14.0

0.0

0.0

3.5

0.114

2023

15

BAL

23 - 7

JAX

6.0

3.0

39.0

0.0

0.0

6.5

0.25

2023

14

LAR

31 - 37

BAL

4.0

2.0

24.0

0.0

0.0

6.0

0.093

2023

12

BAL

20 - 10

LAC

5.0

2.0

21.0

0.0

0.0

4.2

0.156

2023

11

CIN

20 - 34

BAL

2.0

1.0

10.0

1.0

0.0

5.0

0.077

2023

10

CLE

33 - 31

BAL

4.0

2.0

25.0

0.0

0.0

6.25

0.174

2023

9

SEA

3 - 37

BAL

5.0

3.0

28.0

0.0

0.0

5.6

0.152

2023

8

BAL

31 - 24

ARI

2.0

2.0

34.0

0.0

0.0

17.0

0.074

2023

7

DET

6 - 38

BAL

3.0

2.0

36.0

0.0

0.0

12.0

0.107

2023

6

BAL

24 - 16

TEN

3.0

2.0

15.0

0.0

0.0

5.0

0.1

2023

5

BAL

10 - 17

PIT

3.0

1.0

8.0

0.0

0.0

2.67

0.079

2023

3

IND

22 - 19

BAL

3.0

1.0

6.0

0.0

0.0

2.0

0.097

2023

2

BAL

27 - 24

CIN

3.0

3.0

18.0

0.0

0.0

6.0

0.091

2023

1

HOU

9 - 25

BAL

3.0

3.0

35.0

0.0

0.0

11.67

0.136

2022

9

BAL

27 - 13

NO

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2022

8

BAL

27 - 22

TB

1.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.026

2022

7

CLE

20 - 23

BAL

5.0

4.0

42.0

0.0

0.0

8.4

0.312

2022

4

BUF

23 - 20

BAL

6.0

3.0

17.0

0.0

0.0

2.83

0.207

2022

3

BAL

37 - 26

NE

4.0

2.0

59.0

0.0

1.0

14.75

0.138

2022

2

MIA

42 - 38

BAL

7.0

4.0

108.0

1.0

0.0

15.43

0.241

2022

1

BAL

24 - 9

NYJ

5.0

2.0

59.0

1.0

0.0

11.8

0.167

2021

18

PIT

16 - 13

BAL

4.0

2.0

22.0

0.0

0.0

5.5

0.125

2021

17

LAR

20 - 19

BAL

10.0

7.0

58.0

0.0

0.0

5.8

0.312

2021

16

BAL

21 - 41

CIN

5.0

4.0

26.0

1.0

0.0

5.2

0.125

2021

15

GB

31 - 30

BAL

2.0

1.0

5.0

0.0

0.0

2.5

0.05

2021

14

BAL

22 - 24

CLE

8.0

7.0

103.0

0.0

0.0

12.88

0.19

2021

13

BAL

19 - 20

PIT

1.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.027

2021

12

CLE

10 - 16

BAL

4.0

4.0

31.0

0.0

0.0

7.75

0.125

2021

11

BAL

16 - 13

CHI

6.0

3.0

29.0

0.0

0.0

4.83

0.167

2021

10

BAL

10 - 22

MIA

8.0

6.0

80.0

0.0

0.0

10.0

0.186

2021

9

MIN

31 - 34

BAL

8.0

5.0

52.0

0.0

0.0

6.5

0.195

2021

7

CIN

41 - 17

BAL

6.0

3.0

80.0

0.0

0.0

13.33

0.143

2021

6

LAC

6 - 34

BAL

6.0

4.0

29.0

0.0

0.0

4.83

0.222

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Pos: WR1 Team: undefined YoE: undefined
Draft: RD undefined, PICK undefined
Injury Status: undefined Return Date: undefined

I. Player News & Analysis

ESPN

RotoWire

Trends

"Jefferson enters his sixth NFL season as one of the best in the league at his position. The 26-year-old has produced a league-high 7,432 receiving yards since his arrival in 2020, having put up at least 100 catches, 1,500 yards and eight TDs in his last three full seasons. Jefferson has finished four straight seasons as a top-5 fantasy receiver on a per-game basis and showed he was QB-proof in 2024, finishing top 5 in catches, yards and TDs with Sam Darnold under center. Darnold is gone, but 2024 first-round pick J.J. McCarthy could conceivably be an upgrade in Kevin O'Connell's pass-first scheme. Jefferson should be one of the first players off the board on draft day."

"Jefferson endured a tough season due to the Vikings' issues at quarterback, but with his first 100-yard performance since Week 5, the superstar wideout was able to record his sixth straight 1,000-yard campaign to begin his career. Jefferson wraps up the season with an 84-1,048-2 line on 141 targets, the worst yardage and touchdown totals of his career. One of Minnesota's biggest priorities this offseason will be finding a way to build chemistry between J.J. McCarthy (hand) and his most talented target."

	Justin Jefferson's receiving yards have increased by 117.46% over the past 6 weeks.
	Justin Jefferson's target share has increased by 43.91% over the past 6 weeks.
	Justin Jefferson's targets have decreased by 40.32% over the past 12 weeks.
	Justin Jefferson's receptions have increased by 50.0% over the past 6 weeks.
	Justin Jefferson's receiving touchdowns have decreased by 75.0+% over the past 20 weeks.

II. Historical Performance

Season

Week

Home

Score

Away

TGT

REC

YD

TD

FUM

YPA

TGT SHARE

2025

18

GB

3 - 16

MIN

11.0

8.0

101.0

0.0

0.0

9.18

0.355

2025

17

DET

10 - 23

MIN

5.0

4.0

30.0

0.0

0.0

6.0

0.312

2025

16

MIN

16 - 13

NYG

8.0

6.0

85.0

0.0

0.0

10.62

0.348

2025

15

MIN

34 - 26

DAL

8.0

2.0

22.0

0.0

0.0

2.75

0.333

2025

14

WSH

0 - 31

MIN

4.0

2.0

11.0

0.0

0.0

2.75

0.174

2025

13

MIN

0 - 26

SEA

6.0

2.0

4.0

0.0

0.0

0.67

0.2

2025

12

MIN

6 - 23

GB

6.0

4.0

48.0

0.0

0.0

8.0

0.316

2025

11

CHI

19 - 17

MIN

9.0

5.0

61.0

0.0

0.0

6.78

0.281

2025

10

BAL

27 - 19

MIN

12.0

4.0

37.0

0.0

0.0

3.08

0.286

2025

9

MIN

27 - 24

DET

9.0

6.0

47.0

1.0

0.0

5.22

0.36

2025

8

MIN

10 - 37

LAC

11.0

7.0

74.0

0.0

0.0

6.73

0.355

2025

7

PHI

28 - 22

MIN

10.0

5.0

79.0

0.0

0.0

7.9

0.238

2025

5

MIN

21 - 17

CLE

11.0

7.0

123.0

0.0

0.0

11.18

0.314

2025

4

MIN

21 - 24

PIT

11.0

10.0

126.0

0.0

0.0

11.45

0.239

2025

3

CIN

10 - 48

MIN

7.0

5.0

75.0

0.0

0.0

10.71

0.292

2025

2

ATL

22 - 6

MIN

6.0

3.0

81.0

0.0

0.0

13.5

0.286

2025

1

MIN

27 - 24

CHI

7.0

4.0

44.0

1.0

0.0

6.29

0.35

2024

18

MIN

9 - 31

DET

9.0

3.0

54.0

0.0

0.0

6.0

0.22

2024

17

GB

25 - 27

MIN

11.0

8.0

92.0

0.0

0.0

8.36

0.256

2024

16

MIN

27 - 24

SEA

13.0

10.0

144.0

2.0

0.0

11.08

0.371

2024

15

CHI

12 - 30

MIN

14.0

7.0

73.0

1.0

0.0

5.21

0.35

2024

14

ATL

21 - 42

MIN

7.0

7.0

132.0

2.0

0.0

18.86

0.25

2024

13

ARI

22 - 23

MIN

9.0

7.0

99.0

0.0

0.0

11.0

0.29

2024

12

MIN

30 - 27

CHI

5.0

2.0

27.0

0.0

0.0

5.4

0.143

2024

11

MIN

23 - 13

TEN

8.0

6.0

81.0

0.0

0.0

10.12

0.25

2024

10

MIN

12 - 7

JAX

9.0

5.0

48.0

0.0

0.0

5.33

0.237

2024

9

IND

13 - 21

MIN

9.0

7.0

137.0

0.0

0.0

15.22

0.257

2024

8

MIN

20 - 30

LAR

9.0

8.0

115.0

0.0

0.0

12.78

0.36

2024

7

DET

31 - 29

MIN

8.0

7.0

81.0

1.0

0.0

10.12

0.296

2024

5

NYJ

17 - 23

MIN

14.0

6.0

92.0

0.0

0.0

6.57

0.438

2024

4

MIN

31 - 29

GB

8.0

6.0

85.0

1.0

0.0

10.62

0.286

2024

3

HOU

7 - 34

MIN

8.0

6.0

81.0

1.0

0.0

10.12

0.286

2024

2

SF

17 - 23

MIN

7.0

4.0

133.0

1.0

0.0

19.0

0.269

2024

1

MIN

28 - 6

NYG

6.0

4.0

59.0

1.0

0.0

9.83

0.25

2023

18

MIN

20 - 30

DET

14.0

12.0

192.0

1.0

0.0

13.71

0.318

2023

17

GB

33 - 10

MIN

10.0

5.0

59.0

0.0

0.0

5.9

0.312

2023

16

DET

30 - 24

MIN

10.0

6.0

141.0

1.0

0.0

14.1

0.278

2023

15

MIN

24 - 27

CIN

10.0

7.0

84.0

0.0

0.0

8.4

0.294

2023

14

MIN

3 - 0

LV

3.0

2.0

27.0

0.0

0.0

9.0

0.083

2023

5

KC

27 - 20

MIN

6.0

3.0

28.0

0.0

0.0

4.67

0.128

2023

4

MIN

21 - 13

CAR

9.0

6.0

85.0

2.0

0.0

9.44

0.474

2023

3

LAC

28 - 24

MIN

13.0

7.0

149.0

1.0

0.0

11.46

0.26

2023

2

MIN

28 - 34

PHI

13.0

11.0

159.0

0.0

1.0

12.23

0.295

2023

1

TB

20 - 17

MIN

12.0

9.0

150.0

0.0

0.0

12.5

0.273

2022

18

MIN

29 - 13

CHI

5.0

4.0

38.0

0.0

0.0

7.6

0.152

2022

17

MIN

17 - 41

GB

5.0

1.0

15.0

0.0

0.0

3.0

0.143

2022

16

NYG

24 - 27

MIN

16.0

12.0

133.0

1.0

0.0

8.31

0.333

2022

15

IND

36 - 39

MIN

16.0

12.0

123.0

1.0

0.0

7.69

0.291

2022

14

MIN

23 - 34

DET

15.0

11.0

223.0

0.0

0.0

14.87

0.366

2022

13

NYJ

22 - 27

MIN

11.0

7.0

45.0

1.0

0.0

4.09

0.314

2022

12

NE

26 - 33

MIN

11.0

9.0

139.0

1.0

0.0

12.64

0.289

2022

11

DAL

40 - 3

MIN

5.0

3.0

33.0

0.0

0.0

6.6

0.167

2022

10

MIN

33 - 30

BUF

16.0

10.0

193.0

1.0

0.0

12.06

0.32

2022

9

MIN

20 - 17

WSH

13.0

7.0

115.0

1.0

0.0

8.85

0.317

2022

8

ARI

26 - 34

MIN

8.0

6.0

98.0

0.0

0.0

12.25

0.222

2022

6

MIN

24 - 16

MIA

8.0

6.0

107.0

0.0

0.0

13.38

0.267

2022

5

CHI

22 - 29

MIN

13.0

12.0

154.0

0.0

0.0

11.85

0.31

2022

4

MIN

28 - 25

NO

13.0

10.0

147.0

0.0

0.0

11.31

0.333

2022

3

DET

24 - 28

MIN

6.0

3.0

14.0

0.0

0.0

2.33

0.146

2022

2

MIN

7 - 24

PHI

12.0

6.0

48.0

0.0

0.0

4.0

0.261

2022

1

GB

7 - 23

MIN

11.0

9.0

184.0

2.0

0.0

16.73

0.344

2021

18

CHI

17 - 31

MIN

7.0

5.0

107.0

1.0

0.0

15.29

0.318

2021

17

MIN

10 - 37

GB

11.0

6.0

58.0

0.0

0.0

5.27

0.282

2021

16

LAR

30 - 23

MIN

12.0

8.0

116.0

0.0

0.0

9.67

0.316

2021

15

MIN

17 - 9

CHI

10.0

4.0

47.0

1.0

0.0

4.7

0.417

2021

14

PIT

28 - 36

MIN

15.0

7.0

79.0

1.0

0.0

5.27

0.484

2021

13

MIN

27 - 29

DET

14.0

11.0

182.0

1.0

0.0

13.0

0.341

2021

12

MIN

26 - 34

SF

9.0

4.0

83.0

0.0

0.0

9.22

0.273

2021

11

GB

31 - 34

MIN

10.0

8.0

169.0

2.0

0.0

16.9

0.286

2021

10

MIN

27 - 20

LAC

11.0

9.0

143.0

0.0

0.0

13.0

0.297

2021

9

MIN

31 - 34

BAL

5.0

3.0

69.0

1.0

0.0

13.8

0.179

2021

8

DAL

20 - 16

MIN

4.0

2.0

21.0

0.0

0.0

5.25

0.111

2021

6

MIN

34 - 28

CAR

14.0

8.0

80.0

0.0

1.0

5.71

0.292

2021

5

DET

17 - 19

MIN

8.0

7.0

124.0

0.0

0.0

15.5

0.235

2021

4

CLE

14 - 7

MIN

7.0

6.0

84.0

1.0

0.0

12.0

0.184

2021

3

SEA

17 - 30

MIN

11.0

9.0

118.0

1.0

0.0

10.73

0.289

2021

2

MIN

33 - 34

ARI

10.0

6.0

65.0

1.0

0.0

6.5

0.312

2021

1

MIN

24 - 27

CIN

9.0

5.0

71.0

0.0

0.0

7.89

0.18